Chapter 6

ignition

After Mu Haoyang submitted his seventh situation analysis report, Li Pingko approved a military deployment plan to send an Indian Ocean fleet to the Arabian Sea.

Because the second batch of the Kunlun Mountain class aircraft carriers, namely the Qinling Mountain and the Taihang Mountains, have been in service, and the Nanling Mountains and the Wuyi Mountains have also completed the acceptance work, so at the beginning of the year, the Yangtze River and the Yellow River were dispatched to the Indian Ocean Fleet. According to the naval deployment plan personally formulated by Teng Yaohui, the third batch of the Kunlun Mountain class aircraft carriers, namely the Himalayas, Karakoram Mountains, Daxinganling Mountains and the Altai Mountains, will send two additional aircraft carriers to the Indian Ocean to form the "West Indian Ocean Fleet" based on Gwadar Port. The former Indian Ocean Fleet was reorganized into the "East Indian Ocean Fleet", so that the aircraft carrier battle group in the Indian Ocean and the Pacific Ocean will remain on a one-to-two basis and strengthen control over the Indian Ocean. [bsp;   Of course, this will not be after 2040.

If everything goes well, around 2045, the C3 aircraft carrier will replace the "Yangtze River" class, and strive to increase the number of aircraft carrier combat groups to fifteen by 2055, reaching the same level as the US Navy. As for the "Washington Treaty", it will be invalidated in 2050.

When Li Pingko made this decision, two US Navy aircraft carriers had entered the Mediterranean.

Although Li Pingko did not give Mu Haoyang direct instructions, his decision has already expressed his position, namely the basic strategy that had been confirmed before: as long as the United States takes action, China will take action and will never allow the United States to unilaterally interfere in the situation in the Middle East.

Before this, Li Pingko had asked Du Xiaolei to express his position to the US authorities.

According to the information released later, Du Xiaolei had already suggested to the US Secretary of State that any unilateral action by the United States in the Middle East would not help resolve the crisis, but would only worsen the situation, and China would definitely take targeted actions when necessary. Influenced by China's attitude, the US Secretary of State proposed on the morning of the 19th that the United States is willing to jointly take military action with China to prevent the outbreak of war. However, Du Xiaolei rejected this proposal and put forward reasons for opposition, one is whether China and the United States have the right to take military action, two is how to define the scope of military action, and three is that whoever undertakes the task of attack is that it is not feasible to stop the war with war.

In fact, the main reason for China's opposition is that it is worried that the United States will take the opportunity to expand its influence.

You should know that in this crisis, Egypt and Syria, or Arab countries dominate. If China agrees to use military strikes to prevent the outbreak of war, it will definitely offend Egypt and Syria, and even offend the entire Arab world, causing all previous efforts to be wasted. Through military actions, the United States can reshape its prestige and consolidate its hegemony in the Middle East.

In addition, the EU and Russia should also be considered.

China and the United States take military actions without management, and will definitely offend the EU and Russia, leading to the international situation in an unknown direction.

From a legal perspective, there is no reason for China and the United States to launch a military strike on a certain country because it is preparing to launch a war.

If this precedent is present, then when dealing with similar international issues in the future, any major power can use the same reasons to launch military strikes on other countries. Perhaps, China can benefit from it, but the biggest beneficiary is definitely the United States, because the United States started war against other countries on the charge of "false" in several local wars before the Second Korean War, even the Second Korean War.

Li Pingko also mentioned in his memoirs that if China achieves national rejuvenation in the United States, then China will never be able to surpass the United States.

However, what happened on the night of September 19 proves that the joint military strikes between China and the United States on Israel, Egypt and Syria will definitely be the last chance to prevent the fifth Middle East War.

At around 22 o'clock in Cairo time, Syrian Vice President Assad gave a televised speech.

Before calling on all Syrians to arm themselves, Assad threw out a bombshell: Syrian intelligence agencies have arrested two ** Guard officers who planned the bombing, proving that they serve the Israeli intelligence agency Mossad, and that Israel must be responsible for this.

Almost at the same time, all Arab countries received diplomatic notes from Syria.

It must be admitted that Syria has done a very thorough preparation.

In order to convince other Arab countries, Syria has provided sufficient evidence. Among the two arrested guard officers, one of them participated in a military operation in Southern Lebanon in 2032, and was captured by the Israel Defense Forces until 2034. Another served as a Syrian military officer in Tunisia, during which time he had contacted Mossad's intelligence personnel, and his three overseas accounts contained US$5.5 million in unknown assets, all of which were transferred through private banks in the Caribbean.

The most direct evidence is that when the Syrian intelligence agency arrested two people, it seized a batch of explosive equipment and chemical raw materials used to make explosives. It was proved that it was completely consistent with the explosives of car bombs. These chemical raw materials were transported into Syria by a freighter docked through Turkey. Before that, they were docked in Haifa, Israel for three days. A crew member on the freighter came to Damascus during the explosion and lived in a small hotel for three days. During this period, he had direct contact with two arrested officers and an officer who died in the explosion. According to information provided by Syria, the crew member entered Israel through Lebanon on the 19th.

Faced with such conclusive evidence, other Arab countries cannot object.

An hour later, Najaf gave Israel an ultimatum through a television speech, that is, to hand over the suspect in the bombing within twelve hours.

At the time of Najaf's TV speech, the Egyptian army had already begun pre-war mobilization.

The combat mobilization of the Syrian army was a little earlier, but the efficiency was not as good as that of the Egyptian army.

More importantly, Najaf issued an ultimatum at this time, meaning that if Israel does not hand over the suspects in the bombing within 12 hours, Egypt and Syria will formally declare war on Israel on the grounds that Israeli intelligence agencies conspired to assassinate the presidents of both countries.

From a legal perspective, this is definitely a sufficient reason to start a war.

Not to mention assassinating the country's supreme leader, even planning an explosion in other countries is enough to constitute a condition for war.

The question is, can Israel hand over the bombing suspect?

Let’s not talk about whether the bombing was planned by Mossad, even if it is, Israel will not be able to hand over the suspect, because it is equivalent to actively admitting to planning the assassination. You should know that even if Egypt and Syria do not declare war on Israel for this reason, they will also propose a comprehensive sanction on Israel. Of course, it is more likely that after Israel recognizes it, Egypt and Syria will still declare war on Israel.

Affected by this, Israel remained silent.

At that time, Li Mingyang submitted a top-secret intelligence analysis report to Li Pingko.

In this report, Li Mingyang clearly mentioned that the assassination is likely to have nothing to do with Mossad, but planned by Egypt and Syrian intelligence agencies. The evidence presented by Syria is forged, but there is no way to prove it, or there is no way to overturn it.

It is conceivable that war is about to break out.

Li Mingyang also mentioned an extremely critical issue: If the evidence presented by Syria cannot be overturned, other Arab countries will at least not oppose the war on Israel, and some Arab countries are likely to participate in this war or provide assistance to Egypt and Syria.

If that's the case, it's definitely not a local war.

To put it simply, Arab countries do not need to send troops to fight. They just need to use oil as weapons like the Third Middle East War, which can force many Western countries, including the United States, to stand aside, prevent foreign forces from intervening, and allow Egypt and Syria to win a war without any suspense.

Perhaps, this has little impact on China.

Even if Arab countries impose sanctions on China and prohibit exports of oil to China, China will not be affected significantly, because enough oil can be obtained by expanding other import channels. For example, Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei can increase its daily oil production by 1.5 million barrels within a week, and oil fields in the East China Sea and South China Sea can also increase its daily output by about 1.5 million barrels within a week. In addition, China will not experience an energy crisis during the war against Japan.

A year later, with the second batch of fusion nuclear power plants put into production, the impact became even more slim.

The truly affected United States and the European Union.

Relatively speaking, the United States has not had a big problem, because the United States itself is the world's third largest oil producer, with daily output of oil fields sealed in the Gulf of Mexico and Texas alone reaching 2.5 million barrels. In addition, it can also expand crude oil imports from Brazil, Nigeria and other countries.

More importantly, China and the United States have established regional economies, with oil self-sufficiency rates of about 70%.

The EU is the one who is most afraid of being subject to the oil embargo in Arab countries.

You should know that the oil provided by Arab countries accounts for 45% of the EU's total oil imports, exceeding Russia's 30%. The EU's oil self-sufficiency capacity is only 25%, and most of it comes from the North Sea and Romania. The oil production capacity of these two regions has reached its limit, and the room for improvement is very limited, and it cannot fill the gap in the oil embargo.

If the oil embargo is imposed, the EU economy will definitely be hit hard.

In fact, this influence has been revealed.

On July 19, the price of crude oil futures delivered by the London Futures Exchange in August soared by 28%. If the war breaks out, it is absolutely not impossible to double before the end of the month, but it is a certain fact that the European economy will definitely not be able to withstand such a heavy blow. If the oil embargo is subject to, it is not impossible for Europe to increase the cost of obtaining oil by three times or even five times.

The result is that Europe has to surrender to the Arab countries.

After the EU turned against each other, the mechanism became a decoration, and China and the United States would definitely be unable to stop the war from breaking out.
Chapter completed!