.

Laos, Cambodia and Myanmar have successively declared war on Vietnam, and China's strategy in Southeast Asia has achieved significant success.

When the Myanmar envoy flew to Beijing, the U.S. ambassador to Thailand urgently met with the Thai Prime Minister in hopes that Thailand could remain calm.

Politically speaking, whether Thailand participates in the war will determine the nature of the war.

Although Thailand is not the leader in Southeast Asia in terms of population, territory, etc., and its economic scale is not as good as Malaysia and Indonesia, in the Indochina Peninsula, Thailand is definitely the most influential country and has the most appeal within ASEAN.

If Thailand declares war on Vietnam, other ASEAN countries will have to worry.

To put it bluntly, as long as Thailand participates, Vietnam will be isolated, and this war will also evolve into a war against Vietnam by four ASEAN countries.

Will Thailand join the war?

If three years ago, even if the US ambassador did not come to visit, the Thai Prime Minister would have some concerns and would not immediately follow China's pace. In the 2028 general election, the Red Shirt Party won, Thailand's policy changed significantly, and its relations with China improved significantly.

It can be said that the appearance of the US ambassador only delayed Thailand's participation in the war.

At that time, Laos and Cambodia were the ones that had the greatest impact on Thailand. After all, these two countries had signed alliance treaties with China and were excluded within ASEAN. Myanmar did not sign alliance treaties with China, but it was very active in declaring war on Vietnam, indicating that ASEAN countries must choose their positions as soon as possible.

This is not a war against Vietnam alone, and China's spearhead is not directed at Vietnam, but at the United States that secretly support Vietnam.

In Thailand's view, China's active war is to fundamentally divide ASEAN.

Before this, China had made sufficient preparations. Winning Malaysia and peacefully resolving the South China Sea dispute can be seen as the symbol of China's entry into ASEAN. The subsequent signing of an alliance treaty with Laos and Cambodia was to make final preparations for the split of ASEAN.

So far, most ASEAN countries have chosen their position.

Only Thailand and Indonesia are still neutral. If Indonesia has capital to maintain neutrality, Thailand does not have such good innate conditions.

Whether China goes south from the Indochina Peninsula or the United States expands westward from the Philippines, Thailand will be affected.

To form an alliance with China or to turn to the United States?

This is a very difficult choice for Thailand, which pursues bilateral diplomacy.

On May 6, the Thai Prime Minister's Special Envoy flew to Beijing.

On this day, the U.S. Congress approved the "Aid to Vietnam" submitted by Chandler, taking a crucial step in military aid operations.

Under this bill, the president can use all forces besides the army to help Vietnam fight foreign invasions.

To prove the legitimacy of doing so, the U.S. Congressional Foreign Affairs Commission also issued a statement claiming that China's war acts have violated international law and the consistent principles of resolving territorial and territorial disputes, so the United States has the right to help a sovereign state conduct defensive operations.

Ironically, the "consistent principle" mentioned by the Foreign Affairs Commission was proposed by China, the basic principle of resolving territorial and territorial waters disputes through peaceful negotiations. That is to say, the United States used China's principles to accuse China and did not mention its own foreign principles.

On this day, the military strike against Vietnam entered the third day.

After three days of bombing, the main ports and naval bases in southern Vietnam were paralyzed. The Vietnamese Navy lost two-thirds of its ships, and the Air Force lost nearly two hundred fighter jets, of which 120 were blown up on the ground, and only 64 were shot down in air combat.

Because the Air Force still did not participate in the war, the Chinese Navy undertakes all strike tasks.

The Marines followed the Navy's operations.

In the early morning of the sixth, the combat operation to recover the islands and reefs was officially launched. With the cover and support of the fleet, the Marines' amphibious special forces set off from the warships and captured several islands and reefs with few troops. Because the amphibious fleet will arrive in eight days, large-scale amphibious operations will begin on the ninth day.

On that day, the most eye-catching thing happened in Laos.

At the invitation of the Lao authorities, the "Expeditionary Force" of the Chinese Army officially entered Laos and went to the army camp in Huapan Province to assist the Lao army in consolidating the border defense line.

The size of this unit is not large, with only one battalion and less than four hundred troops.

The significance is extraordinary because it means that the combat troops of the Chinese Army will continue to enter Laos and may even launch an attack from Laos.

For Vietnam, this is definitely a disaster.

As long as the Chinese Army completes tactical detours, Vietnam's defense line in the northern border area will be useless, and the front line will be expanded more than doubled. If the Chinese Army sends combat troops to Cambodia, it means that all Vietnam's land border lines may become breakthroughs.

With the strength of the Vietnamese army, the entire border line could not be defended.

Military-wise, China is preparing for the ground war through strategic detours.

Of course, not everyone is so pessimistic.

When the Vietnamese generals were uneasy, the US affairs consultant mentioned a very critical issue, that is, there is no railway or high-level highway in Laos, and the Chinese team cannot deploy heavy troops in Laos, so it is impossible to launch an attack from Laos, and it should pay more attention to the threat from Cambodia. The reason is very simple. The highway in Cambodia is relatively developed, and there is also a railway connecting Phnom Penh and Sihanoukville. China can transport the main combat troops to Cambodia by sea, so it is very likely to open a second battlefield on the Vietnam-Cambodia border.

Obviously, the US military adviser is more accurate.

Strategically speaking, if China wants to defeat Vietnam, it must divide ground war into two parts, that is, open up a ground battlefield at the north and south ends of Vietnam. The problem in the north is easier to say, the key is in the south. Perhaps China will use the Marines, but sending troops from Cambodia is more reliable.

If Vietnam wants to turn this war into a protracted war of attrition that China cannot bear, it must defend the southern region and then use the complex terrain to fight guerrilla war with the Chinese team, just like when dealing with the US military, turning the jungle into a battlefield, allowing China to admit its failure after suffering heavy losses.

Soon, the intelligence provided by the United States proved this judgment.

On the afternoon of the 6th, an army from the Guangzhou Military Region had arrived in Zhanjiang. It is expected to board the ship before the 8th and arrive in Cambodia as early as 10th.

There are not too many armies, but the combat effectiveness must not be underestimated.

As a military region that mainly fights in the southern region, the combat troops of the Guangzhou Military Region are mainly lighter and are very good at fighting in areas with water and network intertwined. This is also reflected in the combat deployment of the China ** team, that is, the combat troops entering Yunnan and Guangxi are all from the Chengdu Military Region. Among the two armies of the Guangzhou Military Region, one of them is already preparing for boarding the ship, and the other one will definitely go to Cambodia.

According to the judgment of the US military adviser, the two armies will arrive in Cambodia by May 15 at the latest.

Because China's pre-war preparations are not sufficient, it is expected that the Chinese army will have the ability to open up a second battlefield in the south by the end of May and early June at the latest.

In this way, a new problem arises, that is, China plans to first south and then north, or first north and then south?

Although many people believe that the Chinese Army will first attack the Red River Delta centered on Hanoi, and then go south to capture the Mekong Delta, but there is no standard for the war. If the Chinese authorities think that it is more effective to first south and then north, they will first attack the Mekong Delta.

In addition, the Marines that have already gone to sea cannot be ignored.

It can be said that in this war, Vietnam has almost no chance of winning.

Although on May 5, the Vietnamese authorities announced war mobilization and began to recruit 1.5 million militias and about 500,000 retired soldiers of the age. After the three-stage war mobilization is completed, at least 8.5 million soldiers can be recruited to expand the military scale by eight times, Vietnam's war mobilization speed will definitely not keep up with China's offensive speed, and the temporary mobilization of soldiers is definitely not the opponent of the Zhongzhang Team.

More importantly, scale does not equal combat effectiveness.

In the war more than 60 years ago, Vietnam mobilized nearly five million soldiers, and the United States only invested 400,000 troops at its highest time, and only half of them were ground troops. There were less than 50,000 US troops who fought on the front line for a long time. As a result, Vietnam only wiped out less than 60,000 US troops at the cost of more than 2 million people killed.

For Vietnam, the most important thing is the aid from the United States.

The problem is that on May 6, the window for the United States to provide military aid was closed.

In addition to all the major ports in southern Vietnam, China announced at 4:00 p.m. on the 6th that the entire territory of Vietnam would be set as a no-fly zone.

This time, China adopted the American standards.

According to the flight ban control regulations announced by the Chinese Ministry of National Defense, any aircraft entering the no-fly zone without permission will be shot down by Chinese fighter jets.

Obviously, the United States cannot use this to blame China.

You should know that the United States has developed the concept of "no-fly zone". Moreover, in the past few decades, the United States has successively implemented bans in several countries and has never cared about the feelings of other countries. More importantly, the United States has set other countries' airspace as bans without declaring war. Now China has declared war on Vietnam. According to international law, other countries should avoid it and no provocation will be supported.

Obviously, the No-fly Zone is not aimed at Vietnam, but at the United States.

Unless the United States intends to go to war with China, it cannot send transport planes to transport supplies to Vietnam.

After the sea and air roads were blocked, the United States could only stare at it.

On the night of six days and after two and a half days of silence, the Chinese Air Force finally made its grand debut. At 8:30, more than 400 fighter jets and dozens of bombers were used to carry out high-intensity bombing of air defense, command, communication, intelligence and important military bases in northern Vietnam.

Subsequently, the Chinese Navy's carrier-based aviation force was also dispatched to bomb military targets in southern Vietnam.

Large-scale air strikes kicked off. The Chinese team followed the US military for the first time and adopted asymmetric tactics in the war...
Chapter completed!