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Chapter 13 Bottom Line

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There is nothing strange about interest groups driving war.

Strictly speaking, China's policies in the Indochina Peninsula are also driven by interest groups, especially domestic private enterprises' urgent demand for overseas markets and resources.

As a fully marketized country, the interests of major US strategies are more obvious.

Although Chandler is a professional soldier and a professional politician, his relationship with American interest groups, especially arms, finance, energy and other interest groups. Not to mention, he was able to defeat Parks in 2028, get the Republican nomination, and defeat the Democratic candidate in the subsequent general election, becoming the 46th president in American history, thanks to the full support of interest groups.

According to survey data released by CNN, about 4.2 billion of the $5.7 billion that Chandler used for his campaign came from arms, finance, energy, resources and trade organizations, and his competitors in the election received less than 3 billion in corporate donations.

Since he was elected president with money from interest groups, Chandler naturally had to serve the interest groups.

This is clearly reflected in the arrangement of federal government officials. Among the 57 major federal officials and senior staff appointed by Chandler, 54 people have backgrounds in interest groups, and three people without backgrounds also come from private institutions controlled by interest groups. Among them, 18 people come from the "Diplomatic Advisory Committee". You should know that this institution has long been recognized as the spokesperson of Western financial groups.

In this way, Chandler's grand strategy can be regarded as the grand strategy of American interest groups.

To put it more accurately, Chandler's political propositions, especially his views on external affairs, basically reflect the interests of Western interest groups led by financial groups.

The most direct manifestation is the Second Korean War.

In this war that claimed hundreds of thousands of lives, the biggest beneficiary was the Western financial group, not North Korea, which had a chance to survive, nor China, which took the opportunity to become stronger. Through this war, Western financial group completed the "feat" of global shearing in a way that ordinary people could hardly discover.

You should know that in the five years after the war, the depreciation of major currencies around the world was more than 50%.

This means that the savings in the hands of ordinary people have been reduced by half invisibly, and their wealth is concentrated in the hands of a few people without bleeding.

However, fifteen years later, the dividends of the Second Korean War have been consumed.

As social productivity develops, the people have accumulated wealth again. Financial oligarchs who have tasted the sweetness will definitely start a war again.

Only through war can we collect wealth in ways that are difficult for ordinary people to perceive.

It can be said that this is the fundamental motivation for the United States to actively plan the Sino-Vietnam War.

Before flying to Hanoi, Chandler had received generous promises from members of Congress that as long as China threatens war to Vietnam, the United States will provide Vietnam with all military aid except participating in the war and support Vietnam in war acts with the purpose of defending sovereignty.

This means that Chandler can make enough strategic guarantees in Hanoi that will make Vietnam tempted.

The question is, are these guarantees reliable?

On the morning of May 3, Mu Haoyang received a call from Huang Zhibo and then rushed to the office of the Chief of Staff. Huang Zhibo had asked the secretary to adjust the TV channel.

Generally speaking, the large-screen projection TV in Huang Zhibo's office is just a decoration.

The mobilization of the army this time is mainly due to the fact that the Vietnamese Ministry of Foreign Affairs has announced that Chandler and Vietnamese leaders will attend the press conference together.

Obviously, Chandler's trip to Hanoi has achieved fruitful results.

"Li Mingyang called me last night, and Chandler had made a promise of security." Huang Zhibo turned the TV to a silent state. "The specific situation is not clear, but one thing has been cleared. The conditions offered by Chandler have been accepted by the Vietnamese authorities."

"The United States intends to send troops to Vietnam?"

Huang Zhibo smiled and said, "The possibility is very low unless Chandler is confident to defeat us in Vietnam."

"What he lacks is not confidence, but ambition."

"Anyway, we have to take the influence of the United States into consideration."

Mu Haoyang nodded and said, "I don't think Chandler will make a promise to send troops because it will force us to act in advance, and the United States will not be able to deploy enough military forces to Vietnam overnight, and it is even less likely to be familiar with Vietnam overnight."

"Your point is that Chandler has made only a limited commitment to security?"

“This is the most reasonable choice.”

"Why?"

"We must first believe that neither the United States nor Vietnam thinks that we will take the initiative to start a war, so there will definitely be some reservations in military policy. To put it bluntly, as long as this strategic judgment is made, Chandler will believe that as long as we provide Vietnam's military aid in a timely manner and help Vietnam improve its military strength, it will prevent us from launching a war. The Vietnamese authorities will also hold the same view that before we complete the preparations for war, there is enough time to strengthen our national defense forces, so that we can give up our war ambitions."

“This is also true.”

Mu Haoyang smiled without refuting.

Although the strategic deployment has begun, after entering the military planning stage, Huang Zhibo and Mu Haoyang both realized that the possibility of launching a war immediately was very low. The reason is very simple. China's military deployment was not aimed at Vietnam, but focused on both the east and west ends. To fight a large-scale war in Vietnam, it will take several months to deploy in the early stage alone, and it will be as early as the end of the year before sufficient combat troops and military supplies can be gathered.

If the situation is delayed until the end of the year, the situation will change drastically and war deployment will be re-organized.

Huang Zhibo was silent for a while and said, "It will be very unfavorable for us to drag on it. We have to consider one question, that is, will the United States form an alliance with Vietnam after our military threat escalates to restrain us. If so, we have to give up the war action."

"It's unlikely, but it does exist."

"What about your point of view?"

Mu Haoyang was stunned for a moment and said, "It is better to fight early than to fight late. When you lose all your strategic advantages, it is definitely not the best choice to solve the problem."

"If you fight early, how can you fight?"

"Increase the proportion of air strikes and narrow the scope of ground wars." Mu Haoyang paused for a moment and said, "After the war broke out, all preparations will be accelerated. My opinion is to first complete the deployment of air strikes, and wait until the war breaks out before preparing for the rest."

"Are you sure?"

Mu Haoyang nodded and said nothing.

At this time, the Vietnamese Foreign Minister appeared on the TV screen. Huang Zhibo did not discuss it anymore and turned on the sound channel. However, neither of them understood it and could only read the synchronous translation subtitles below.

After reading the news, both of them locked their eyebrows together.

Chandler did issue a large military aid order, not only promised to provide Vietnam with more advanced weapons and equipment, but also promised to provide Vietnam with personnel training, help Vietnam establish a modern military command system, and allow the US military to return to Vietnam, but was just a military adviser.

More importantly, Vietnam took a crucial step towards the war.

When accepting US military aid, Vietnam promised to sell the oil field mining rights in disputed areas of the South China Sea to American companies and pay for military purchases.

You know, Vietnam planned to do this a few years ago.

At that time, China issued a war threat, claiming that Vietnam's sale of oilfield mining rights in disputed waters was equivalent to infringing on China's sovereignty and starting a war with China.

The question is, can we start a war against Vietnam for this reason?

While the two were still thinking about this issue, the phone rang on their desks.

When Huang Zhibo went over to answer the phone, Mu Haoyang went to turn off the TV.

"Okay, I understand." Huang Zhibo said just one sentence, then put down the microphone and said to Mu Haoyang, "The Prime Minister called, and the senior management will hold a meeting in the afternoon to let us provide a military solution. Whether to fight or to reunite, there will be an answer in a few hours."

"Just say hello now?" Mu Haoyang was a little surprised, "I don't even have a clue."

"What are you afraid of? You are not going to let you go alone. I'm here." Huang Zhibo smiled and said, "Besides, what the senior leaders need is not a tactical plan, but a feasible war plan, or a more affirmative reply. You won't be confused, right?"

"It's better to prepare."

"Okay, hurry up and prepare. I'll call you after lunch."

Mu Haoyang did not waste time and immediately stood up to say goodbye. Even if he just gave an answer, he had to prepare well. He could not influence strategic decisions based on his personal judgment.

At this time, international public opinion was already in full swing.

Because China has long linked South China Sea resources with national sovereignty, the bottom line is not to destroy the status quo. That is, China defaults to Vietnam's mining platform that has been established in the South China Sea, but does not accept Vietnam's expansion of its mining scope, nor will it accept Vietnam's transfer of mining rights to other countries or enterprises from other countries. Therefore, the Vietnamese authorities' commitment to transfer oilfield mining rights is equivalent to crossing China's bottom line.

When doing the report, almost all news media mentioned "war".

However, some Western news media also mentioned that China has no right to start a war with Vietnam because China's interest in the South China Sea sovereignty has not been widely recognized by the international community, and Vietnam's actual control over the South China Sea is already a fait accompli. Vietnam's transfer of oilfield mining rights has not undermined the fait accompli.

According to consistent principles, Vietnam took action on the basis of fait accompli and did not infringe on China's sovereignty.

Of course, not all news media hold this view.

It can be said that the ball has been kicked at China's feet, and where to go depends on China's attitude.

At 10:30 am Beijing time, Du Xiaolei held a press conference at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and announced China's official position: the actions of the Vietnamese authorities have endangered China's sovereign interests and constituted an infringement on China, and China has reason to take targeted measures and actions to correct the wrong behavior of the Vietnamese authorities.

This diplomatic statement is a bit ambiguous, but the meaning of war is very strong...
Chapter completed!
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