As early as 2008, Russia sent troops to teach Georgia, which attempted to join NATO.

After more than ten years of calm, in 2022, Russia sent troops to the Transcaucasus again in the name of eliminating separatists in Chechnya, overthrew the Georgian regime, and then forced Azerbaijan and Armenia to sign a city alliance, returning to the embrace of the CIS. However, the good times did not last long. After the Fifth Middle East War, Georgia, Azerbaijan and Armenia experienced successive glory, and the new government became more pro-China. The reason is very simple. During the global natural disaster, only China provided humanitarian assistance to these three small countries and helped them overcome difficulties. After the disaster ended, pro-China political parties came to power in these three countries one after another. For Russia, this was obviously intolerable. However, when China had replaced the United States as the main power in the Middle East, Russia did not dare to take rash military actions. It could only swallow its anger and wait for the time to ripe before taking action.

In fact, this is one of the reasons why China and Russia are gradually drifting away.

In the view of Russian authorities, China is exhausted from coping with the US strategic offensive, so the time to recover the Transcaucasus is ripe.

It must be admitted that the Russian authorities are indeed a bit short-sighted, or have ambitions that are not commensurate with their strength.

Although China and the three Transcaucasian countries have not signed alliance treaties, on the economic level, the three Transcaucasian countries have long integrated into economies with China as the core, and their strategic position is also very important to China, because they are a very critical part of the Great Middle East defensive circle carefully constructed by China. In addition to blocking Russia in the north, they also play a role in forcing Iran.

It can be said that as long as Russia invades the Transcaucasus, the Sino-Russian conflict will not be resolved.

Even if China will swallow its anger in the short term and avoid fighting on both sides, as long as the situation in the Pacific and Indian Oceans improves, China will not let Russia go.

Of course, the current impact is mainly concentrated on Iran.

When China fully supports Arab countries such as Egypt, Syria, Iran did not turn against China. The main reason is the direct threat posed by Russia.

Although in the Middle East, with Syria and Egypt becoming a friendly country to become China, Russia once increased its importance to Iran, Russia's ambitions in the Transcaucasus region have repeatedly made Iran worry. After 2045, as Russia and the United States got closer, especially in 2049, when Lucas, who had just become president, mentioned that the United States would unconditionally support Russia's interest demands within the CIS, Iran no longer regarded Russia as a trustworthy country.

Politically speaking, Iran not only no longer trusts Russia, but also has to be wary of Russia.

You should know that in history, Russia once wanted to enter Iran from the Caucasus and obtain a "warm water port", which was also the main reason that led to Iran's fall to the United States after World War II and becoming the United States' number one ally in the Middle East. During the Pahlavi dynasty, Iran's position in the US strategy was even higher than that of Israel. If it weren't for Islam, Iran would not have become the rival of the United States.

From Iran's standpoint, we have to worry even more about Russia's life for the United States.

To put it bluntly, if Russia controls the Transcaucasus region, it means that the United States has obtained a base for advancement near the Iranian capital. Don’t forget that Tehran is in northwestern Iran, Estonia is less than 200 kilometers north of Iran, and Tehran is much further away from Iraq.

For the Iranian authorities, if Russia becomes an accomplice of the United States, its status will not be preserved.

It can be said that this is the portrayal of Russia-Iran relations after 2045. Especially after 2049, Iraq turned to the Egypt-Syrian alliance, and the threat from the south almost disappeared. Iran adjusted its military deployment and sent all three ** Guard divisions originally placed on the border between Iran to the northwest. This deployment and mobilization shows that Iran not only no longer regards Russia as an ally, but also begins to be wary of Russia.

Now, if Russia sends troops to the Caucasus, it is equivalent to helping China a lot.

Of course, whether Russia sends troops is still a question.

Du Xiaolei also saw the opportunity and immediately called the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. He arranged for former Ambassador to Iran to go to Tehran as the head of state envoy, formally proposed an alliance with the Iranian president and the supreme spiritual leader, and then proposed to borrow railways to transport the army.

What needs to be done is not just diplomatic work.

After returning, Mu Haoyang called Qi Kaiwei and asked him to strengthen his military deployment in the northern region as soon as possible, but mainly for defense deployment.

This move is to force Russia to enter the Transcaucasus.

Although Du Xiaolei proposed that some troops should be drawn from the northern region to reduce military pressure on Russia so that Russia can relax its vigilance, Mu Haoyang believes that doing so will not have a positive effect at all, and it may instead make Russia give up the Transcaucasus.

The reason is very simple. China is surrounded by enemies at this time, and the US-Russia relations are there, so there is no reason to relax the alertness in the northern region. To put it bluntly, if troops are drawn from the northern region, even if Russia does not think this is a good time to attack China, it will be wary of it. Only by continuing to strengthen its vigilance and preparing for war with Russia can Russia believe that China has no other plans.

There is another obvious benefit to doing so, that is, the United States will encourage Russia to enter the Transcaucasus.

Even though we know that we can't defeat the Chinese army, even if the United States wants Russia to join the war, there is no reason for Russia to ruin its main force in the Far East. Although the US military has seized the sea control of the Indian Ocean, China's air force deployed in South Asia has not been affected. Therefore, the United States must find a way to cut off the ground transportation line. The only feasible way is to let the Russian army cross the Caucasus Mountains and invade Iran.

In fact, this is also an important basis for ensuring that Israel can defeat Arab countries in the Middle East.

In addition, keeping the main force of the army in the northern region can also make the United States firmly determined to launch a strategic offensive and thus invest its main force in Southeast Asia or East Asia. From a military perspective, this is equivalent to digging a trap for the US military, allowing the United States to consume ground forces that had no advantage on the secondary battlefield before completing the war mobilization, rather than playing a greater role in the main battlefield.

Judging from the situation at that time, the center of the ground battlefield was not in Southeast Asia and East Asia, but in the Middle East.

If part of the U.S. military force can be consumed in Southeast Asia or East Asia, military adventures in the Middle East can be minimized.

There is no doubt that both Mu Haoyang, Qi Kaiwei, and Pang Yuelong are more willing to fight against the US military near their homeland.

With so many benefits, Mu Haoyang naturally has no reason to choose other means.

Chapter 23 Russia's ambition
Chapter completed!