Chapter VI Fight for Peace
.Chapter 6: Fight for Peace
After talking to US Secretary of State Conrad, Du Xiaolei hurried to the capital to attend a high-level meeting held by Huang Hanlin.
Du Xiaolei knew the real reason behind this incident very well.
To put it simply, the military generals of China and the United States are the ones who contribute to the fire, especially those senior generals who hold real power.
The question is, can this prove that the soldier did something wrong?
Du Xiaolei had long seen that Mu Haoyang's purpose was to defend national interests and avoid the fatal blow to the Chinese team when the war broke out.
If war is unavoidable, then everything Mu Haoyang did is not wrong.
So, can war be avoided?
As a diplomat, Du Xiaolei certainly hopes that the war will never break out, but as a realist, she believes that war is no longer avoidable.
At the beginning of the year, there were many signs that the United States was actively planning a war.
At the first high-level meeting after the Spring Festival, Du Xiaolei proposed that we should pay close attention to the United States and be wary of the United States' behavior of making and provoking wars.
At that time, Du Xiaolei showed a piece of evidence that no one could ignore.
In early February, when the US Vice President visited Moscow, he signed a secret agreement with the Russian President, that in the event of Russia's invasion, the United States would provide various assistance, including military. In this agreement, the United States also promised to help Russia adjust its military command system, establish a more efficient combat command system, and comprehensively enhance Russia's military strength.
This secret agreement can be regarded as a treaty of the United States-Russia alliance.
Of course, it is not a reciprocal alliance treaty, that is, Russia does not assume any obligations, and only the United States is unilaterally responsible for Russia's strategic security.
The problem is, no matter how you explain it, this is a key step for the United States to move towards war.
As long as the United States and Russia form an alliance, China will have no choice. To put it simply, even if the United States does not provoke a war, China will launch a war when necessary.
From the perspective of diplomats, the secret alliance between the United States and Russia has brought the war to a countdown.
The problem is that Huang Hanlin is not a diplomat.
At that high-level meeting, Huang Hanlin did not approve the military's proposal, namely to formulate a comprehensive war plan against Russia, but instead asked Du Xiaolei to make diplomatic efforts to stabilize Russia, prevent the situation from deteriorating further, and avoid the outbreak of the war.
To this end, Du Xiaolei visited Moscow in early April and met with the Russian President and Prime Minister.
Although the atmosphere of the meeting was harmonious, no substantial results were achieved, and neither the Russian President nor the Prime Minister had received the olive branch extended by Du Xiaolei.
It can be said that this is the last effort of the Chinese authorities to stop the war.
At that time, Du Xiaolei offered very high conditions in Moscow, including no longer providing assistance to Central Asian countries, and even implying that as long as Russia recognizes China's status in East Asia, Southeast Asia and South Asia, China will prompt the Fuso authorities to give up their territorial requirements for the four northern islands. On the issue of territorial security, Du Xiaolei also proposed that China is willing to sign a bilateral border security agreement, that is, China and Russia will withdraw troops from the border area for more than 200 kilometers at the same time, and that military deployment and mobilization within 200 kilometers from the border will be notified in advance. On the Mongolia issue, Du Xiaolei also expressed his position that China has no intention of annexing Mongolia and will not take any action to undermine the trilateral relations between China and Mongolia and Russia, but requires Russia to make the same guarantee and not take unilateral actions in Mongolia.
In short, in order to appease Russia, Du Xiaolei made almost all concessions.
Unfortunately, the Russian authorities still believe that Du Xiaolei is not sincere and that all the security guarantees she made cannot ensure that Russia's fundamental interests are not threatened.
Of course, Du Xiaolei did not give up.
In the next few months, Du Xiaolei's main job was to deal with Russia and try every means to improve Sino-Russia relations.
It was not until October that the situation became out of control as the United States announced an additional fleet to Australia.
At that time, Du Xiaolei realized that this was likely to be the last straw that broke the peace.
On October 12, Du Xiaolei made a special trip to find Mu Haoyang and mentioned the United States' increase in troops to Australia. Mu Haoyang's position was very clear: the United States' strengthening of military power in the southwest Pacific and Indian Ocean has posed a direct threat to China's security and interests.
However, Du Xiaolei never expected that Mu Haoyang would respond in five days.
Although Du Xiaolei is not a military strategist, she knew that the order issued by Mu Haoyang was equivalent to telling the United States that in a few months, China will have the ability to start a war.
Fortunately, before that, Du Xiaolei had already done what the Prime Minister should do.
When he arrived at the head of state, at the high-level meeting, Du Xiaolei first made a comprehensive analysis of the domestic situation, especially the situation related to the war.
At that time, the most important thing was how China reversed the situation when the situation was unfavorable in the early stages of the war.
Among them, the most important thing is China's own war potential.
In this report, Du Xiaolei clearly mentioned: Since 2038, domestic economic construction has been adjusted according to the needs of war, so on the premise of war control, the self-sufficiency rate of the 86 strategic materials required reached 80%. Of the 20% of the required imports, about 80% can be imported through land ports, and only about 4% of the strategic materials need to be transported by sea.
It can be said that China's self-sufficiency rate is very high.
According to the intelligence provided by the Military Intelligence Agency, the United States' self-sufficiency rate is only 60%, and only 40% of imported materials can be transported by land, and 24% of the total materials need to be transported by sea. In addition, the American economies depend on sea transportation is about 40%.
In addition, China's strategic reserves are also sufficient.
In the report, Du Xiaolei clearly mentioned that even if the sea control power was lost in the early stage of the war and the sea transportation route was cut off, the strategic materials reserved by China could be maintained for more than one year to ensure that more than 80% of the under-construction military projects were successfully completed, and the necessary strategic materials could be obtained through air transport to ensure that 70% of the military projects could still be carried out smoothly in the second year of the war.
Of course, Du Xiaolei did not forget the most important part: war mobilization.
According to the mobilization plan formulated in 2038, after the war breaks out, war mobilization will be completed in five steps, namely, recruiting retired soldiers of appropriate age, comprehensive mobilization of military industry and heavy industry, restoring the compulsory military service system, general mobilization of the social production system and general mobilization of the whole people. The entire mobilization action will take more than one year, and the mobilization of the first three stages will be completed within half a year, and the military strength will be increased by more than two times.
Because it involves military mobilization, this is not just a matter of the State Council.
In the subsequent explanation, Mu Haoyang mentioned that after completing the mobilization of the first three stages, the newly recruited soldiers need to undergo three months to six months of training, and the training cycle of some skills and technical troops is more than one year, so the combat capabilities of the army and the air force will increase significantly by one year after the outbreak of the war. Because the equipment construction cycle is longer, the strength of the navy and the Marine Corps will not increase significantly until the second year after the outbreak of the war, and there is also a prerequisite, that is, the equipment construction is carried out completely in accordance with the wartime system.
It is precisely because Mu Haoyang emphasized the importance of the second phase mobilization and proposed that the first and second phase mobilization should be carried out at the same time.
The problem is that the premise of mobilizing war is that the war has broken out.
On this issue, Huang Hanlin's attitude was still a little hesitant, as if in his opinion, there was still room for recovery, and it was not yet enough to fight.
The meeting lasted for six hours and still no conclusion was reached.
In fact, this was completely within expectations of Du Xiaolei and Mu Haoyang.
It is not that Huang Hanlin does not have the courage and determination to fight, but as the country's supreme leader, he must worry about the serious consequences of the war. To put it bluntly, no matter what Huang Hanlin thinks, peace can last for one day, and if he can defeat others without fighting, it will naturally be a good thing. By 2052, this seemed to be the result that could be seen, that is, the continued arms race would definitely lead to the bankruptcy of the United States, thus causing the United States to lose this Cold War that lasted for 40 years, and China would replace the United States in a non-war manner.
Of course, Huang Hanlin is not an idealist.
Before the meeting ended, Huang Hanlin approved the military preparation plan proposed by Mu Haoyang, that is, to put active troops into the highest alert state by the end of October, cancel all leave, and enter the combat readiness state of frontier troops, and rear troops will also be vigilant and prepare for war.
It can be said that this is very necessary to prevent and prepare.
Even if Huang Hanlin does not want to provoke a war, he must prevent the United States from launching a sudden attack.
In fact, this is the most limited and least impactful measure that China can take in response to the current situation, and Huang Hanlin's intention is still to maintain peace.
After the meeting, Huang Hanlin kept Du Xiaolei and asked her to make an emergency visit to the United States as soon as possible.
Huang Hanlin did not directly raise it at the meeting, but found Du Xiaolei alone after the meeting, mainly because he did not want to have a dispute with generals such as Mu Haoyang on this issue. You should know that it is not only Mu Haoyang who is active in the fight, but also senior generals such as Qi Kaiwei and Mu Qi Tie.
To put it bluntly, the military's attitudes on the issue of war are highly consistent.
In fact, this also shows that Huang Hanlin does not have much hope for peace, otherwise he should have directly proposed to make a final effort for peace at the meeting, rather than worrying about the military's feelings.
Du Xiaolei was also very moved by the head of state's good intentions.
If both China and the United States could do their best to strive for peace like Huang Hanlin, I am afraid that China-US relations would not have reached this point.
Of course, this cannot be blamed entirely on politicians, because it is often not politicians who plan the war.
After leaving the Head of State, Du Xiaolei did not return to the State Council immediately, but went to the General Staff.
How much results can be achieved in diplomatic efforts be determined by the military to a large extent, that is, military operations and deployment are more effective diplomatic signals.
Chapter 6: Fight for Peace
Chapter completed!