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Chapter 136 No choice

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Fundamentally speaking, the basic contradiction between China and the United States is not politically, but economically.

As early as more than 30 years ago, when Fu Xiubo was in power, the Chinese leadership had a consensus that if China wants to surpass the United States, it must first break the rules of the game set by the United States. China must turn from a game participant to a rulemaker to replace the United States.

This consensus directly determines China's basic policies over the next 30 years.

Obviously, the rules mentioned here are not political and diplomatic principles, but the principle of distribution of interests, that is, who decides how to distribute global interests.

Fundamentally, this has nothing to do with politics, but a contradiction at the economic level.

You should know that since the Industrial**, Western groups have ruled the world for hundreds of years. Even after two world wars during this period, it was a struggle between Western groups. Eastern civilization has always been subordinate to the position of subordination and has no say in the international economic field. Although after World War II, the United States replaced Britain and became the leader of the Western world, the most fundamental thing has not changed. That is, the one who truly dominates the United States is still the Western vested interest group headed by a consortium, and its fundamental purpose is to take charge of the distribution of global interests through politics, diplomacy, military, economy, trade, finance, culture, technology and other means.

With China's rapid rise, the pattern of Western groups in charge of the world was broken.

For Western Groups, there are only two outcomes: one is to defeat the Oriental Group led by China, continue to take charge of the power to distribute global interests, and maintain the leading position of Western countries; the other is to lose and hand over the power to distribute global interests to the Oriental Group led by China.

Obviously, for the Western group, the latter means a devastating result.

You should know that in the struggle between the country and the nation, or in the struggle of civilization, the Oriental Group, which holds the power of life and death, will never have any mercy when treating its competitors. Even if the Western Group does not consider the impact of the people, it will fight to defend its vested interests to the death.

From this perspective, the Sino-US conflict is fundamentally resolved in a peaceful manner.

It was against this background that the two superpowers gradually moved towards World War III.

In the struggle for life and death, the performance of the Western group is no worse than that of the Eastern group, and it is the Western group that plays the leading role in it.

In a sense, it is not the American government that desires war, but the consortium that dominates the United States.

After the outbreak of the Sino-Japanese War, the American consortium began to act.

According to the information disclosed later, as early as 2035, six major consortiums in the United States reached a secret agreement, namely, by reducing corporate profit levels, stimulating consumption, and gradually releasing the potential of the United States' war.

On the surface, this is also beneficial to the people.

To put it simply, the consortium reduces the degree of exploitation of workers and gives out more benefits, thus benefiting workers.

But in the long run, this is something that the consortium must do in order to survive, and it is the primary task.

You should know that if the US domestic economy is sluggish, it will soon be defeated in the arms race with China, and the consortium will be destroyed with the death of the United States.

There are also precedents in history.

For example, in the 1980s, during the Reagan administration, the profit level of American enterprises was greatly reduced, and the domestic consumption level rose unprecedentedly, which allowed the United States to maintain a period of rapid development for ten years. The United States' arms expansion also reached its peak within these ten years, eventually causing the former Soviet Union to collapse under the pressure of the huge arms race, causing the American soldiers to win the Cold War without any blood.

This time, the United States has taken the same approach.

In fact, it was also after 2035 that the United States ushered in a period of rapid economic development with the fastest growth rate and the longest cycle in the 21st century. After deducting the three years during the global natural disasters, the United States' economic growth rate has remained at more than 15% since 2038, and in the first few years it exceeded 20%, and the domestic consumer market has expanded sharply.

It can be said that in the past decade, the United States has driven rapid economic growth in the entire Western world.

The direct result of rapid economic development is that the United States' military expenditure has been rising year by year, and the increase has always been above the economic growth rate.

In the fiscal years 2051 to 2052, the US defense budget accounted for 49.6% of the total federal fiscal budget, equivalent to 17% of the GDP, and it is expected that defense expenditure in the next fiscal year will account for 53% of the total federal fiscal budget.

Like China, huge military expenditures have had a negative impact on the US economy.

Although theoretically, China and the United States have higher affordability than expected, because China and the United States are regional economic centers, and military expenditures have been transferred to other countries to a large extent. For example, in the American Economic Community, the United States has always been a superpower, that is, by issuing a large amount of US dollars, plundering resources from other countries in the economy to meet their own development needs, defense expenditures will definitely reach a critical point at some point, leading to economic collapse.

For the consortium, all it needs to do is to start a war before that.

It can be seen from this that regardless of whether there are technological breakthroughs or not, a full-scale war between China and the United States is inevitable.

By 2052, China's major achievements in the field of "gravity radiation" were just the fuse that triggered the Third World War.

By this time, the Western Group had realized that the technological advantages of the United States no longer exist.

Although the United States still has obvious advantages in some areas, in the areas with the most development potential, the United States not only has no advantages, but has a sufficiently obvious gap. The conclusion drawn from this is that as long as the lukewarm situation continues to be maintained, the United States will completely lose its leading position, and it will have to admit that China is already the only superpower in the world after several years.

For the Western Group, winning the Third World War became the only option.

According to information disclosed after the war, at the end of August 2052, shortly after the Foreign Affairs Commission submitted the assessment report to the White House, the US President summoned the main leaders of the six major consortiums to discuss some war-related issues at the White House.

Of course, this can also be seen as a direct result of Western consortiums' operations on politics.

The reason is very simple. The Foreign Affairs Committee, which has a significant influence in the White House and Congress, is itself an institution established by Western consortiums. Its main responsibility is not to provide advice to politicians, but to serve the consortium. More importantly, the committee itself dominates American politics. Not to mention, in the successive federal governments of the United States, the proportion of ministerial officials from this committee and ministerial officials recommended by the committee has always accounted for more than half, and it mainly controls important departments such as the Department of Defense and the Department of Treasury. Among the White House staff, more than half are also recommended by the committee, and they are mainly important roles such as national security advisers, diplomatic advisers and economic advisers.

It can be seen from this that the Western interest groups led by consortiums dominate the United States.

At this meeting, American politicians and spokespersons of interest groups came to a common conclusion: a total war between China and the United States is inevitable, and the sooner the outbreak is, the more beneficial it will be to the United States.

It is not surprising to draw such a conclusion.

First of all, at the military level, China has accelerated its military pace after the Second Indian Ocean War, and the gap with the United States is rapidly narrowing.

The most direct manifestation is the size of the fleet.

By 2050, with the launch of the first batch of "Tarzan" class aircraft carriers, the size of the Chinese naval fleet was equivalent to 70% of the US military, returning to the level before the Second Indian Ocean War. More importantly, the average service age of Chinese warships was much shorter than that of the US military, so they were much higher in combat performance than that of the US military, and the gap in overall combat capabilities between the two fleets was smaller.

According to external estimates, after the four "Tarzan" class service, the gap between China and the United States will become very small.

Obviously, for the United States, this is a difficult fact.

More importantly, the United States' military advantage is mainly concentrated on the navy, and the United States' national defense focus is also to strengthen control of the ocean.

If the US Navy loses its advantage, the US will not be confident enough to defeat China.

By early 2052, as the four "Tarzan" class completed the outfitting and began sea trials, the pressure on the US Navy had significantly increased.

As for the Army, the United States has no advantage at all.

Of course, the US authorities do not pay much attention to the army, because in the eyes of almost all Americans, a strong enough navy is enough.

In terms of the air force, the United States' advantages are concentrated on the strategic aviation force, but basically no advantage in the tactical aviation force.

It is obvious that the United States' military advantage is not obvious and is shrinking.

According to external estimates, by 2055, with the completion and service of the second batch of "Tarshan"-class aircraft carriers, the United States will completely lose its military advantage. In addition, in 2055, with the expansion of the scale of the Chinese Air Force's strategic aviation, especially the new generation of strategic bombers, the US military's advantages in this field will disappear.

In fact, in the world war, the advantages in recent years are not important at all.

You should know that during the war, the national strength will definitely be concentrated in the military field, and all kinds of equipment plans will be used to improve military productivity, and various equipment plans will be advanced. In this way, the United States' slight advantage before the war will be likely to be caught up by China within half a year during the war.

For the United States, there is actually no way out.

If you really have to wait until 2055, I am afraid the ending will be defeat.

For the United States, the only option is to start a war as soon as possible.

Of course, the real impact is not in the military field, but in the economic field. To be precise, it is the impact of a large-scale arms race on the economies of both sides. In other words, under the pressure of a large-scale arms race, whoever cannot bear the economic system first will have to start a war.
Chapter completed!
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