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Chapter 66 Inevitable

In South Asia strategy, India is just a pawn of the United States.

Although the United States has put war on the agenda due to global natural disasters, in these three years, American politicians, military strategists, and interest groups that dominate the basic policies of the United States have deeply realized that China has gained a decisive strategic advantage, and this advantage is enough to ensure that China maintains its advantage over the United States for decades or even hundreds of years in the next few years.

Obviously, this is not a good thing for the United States.

You should know that even a very weak strategic advantage can influence the strategic balance between the two superpowers and be magnified countless times at the specific level. For example, China's technological advantages in controlled fusion nuclear energy have been magnified many times at the economic level, that is, the regional economies established by China are more solid than those established by the United States, and the actual benefits are much more than those established by the United States.

According to a survey conducted by the Global Climate Affairs Organization in 2040, the overall size of East Asian economies led by China has exceeded that of North American economies led by the United States. If South Asia, the Middle East and other regions are included, the overall size of Chinese economies has exceeded that of American economies. More importantly, the efficiency of Chinese economies is higher than that of American economies, that is, they can obtain much higher comprehensive economic strength than the United States with a comparable population size. As long as China still maintains a relatively obvious advantage in energy technology, this situation will not change, and will continue to amplify, and ultimately surpassing the United States in the economy, causing the United States to lose its economic dominance.

This has been reflected in currency.

By 2038, when the global climate disaster gradually passed, the international influence of the RMB had approached the US dollar, and by 2043, the influence of the RMB had exceeded that of the US dollar. That year, 77 countries around the world signed direct RMB trade agreements with China, and only 75 countries continued to use the US dollar as the trade settlement currency; the former included a total population of about 1.8 billion, while the latter was only 1.5 billion; from the perspective of economic scale, the GDP of the top 77 countries was as high as 37.8 billion yuan, and the GDP of the next 75 countries was 1.03 billion US dollars, about 26 billion yuan.

All these show that the US recession is no longer a prediction, but a fact.

Against this backdrop, if the United States does not strive for changes, and it is a decisive change, it will only be a matter of time to be "peacefully surpassed" by China.

The only way to seek decisive changes is to war.

The problem is that for the United States, if the economic scale is no longer as large as China, the result will definitely not be much better.

Obviously, the United States must find ways to weaken China.

In this way, India has an irreplaceable importance.

Just as Mu Haoyang judged, the US authorities tried to complete the military technological revolution before China through strategic transcendence, raise military strength to a new level, and provoke World War III before China completed a new round of military reforms, so as to seize the opportunity.

Let’s not talk about whether this strategy works for the time being, at least in the implementation stage, India is crucial.

To put it simply, India's strategic hindrance can provide the United States with several years, and what the United States needs is these years. Judging from the international situation around 2040, if China is eyeing the United States, that is, through a new round of military reform, it must adopt a relatively moderate strategy to India to avoid the intensification of Sino-India conflict. The reason is very simple. When conducting military reforms, China's military strength will definitely be reduced, or the combat efficiency of the army will be affected, so China is unlikely to launch a war against India at this time. In this way, as long as it can be arrested

Take this opportunity to help India arm a strong enough army. Even if China completes military changes in time, the United States can force China to fight on two fronts, or even on three fronts, in the early stages of World War III, so as to gain strategic initiative, keep suppressing China to fight, forcing China to compromise with the United States before defeat, or lose in a few years. On the contrary, if China declares war on India before this, intends to eliminate worries first, the United States will gain enough strategic development time, and use India to weaken China, and can also gain the initiative in the early stages of World War III.

It can be seen that the United States can benefit regardless of whether China launches a war against India.

However, the actual situation is different from what the US authorities expected.

Since 2040, China has accelerated the speed of military reform, especially after Mu Haoyang became the Chief of Staff, China's military power development speed far exceeded the United States' estimates. Not to mention, after 2040, China's military expenditure was comparable to that of the United States, but China's prices were much lower than those of the United States, with relatively strong purchasing power, and personnel allowance expenditures were much lower than those of the United States. Therefore, more funds can be invested in equipment procurement and research and development, which means that the Chinese military can replace equipment at a faster speed.

The result is obvious: the United States' strategic advantages are being lost bit by bit.

By 2044, China's military reform continued to accelerate, and military expenditures once again exceeded those of the United States, and most of them were spent on equipment procurement.

At this time, the US authorities had realized that China is likely to go to war with India.

To be more precise, China is likely to launch a war before India completes its defense modernization to solve its worries at the lowest cost.

For the United States, this is definitely a variable.

There are only two choices: one is to directly support India and declare war on China; the other is to indirectly support India and make China pay a large enough price here.

According to some information disclosed later, in early 2044, the US Department of Defense made an assessment, believing that if the war broke out in 2045, it would be difficult for the United States to directly participate in the war to gain a strategic advantage that could defeat China, and instead be defeated in the protracted war.

The reason is simple: the United States is not ready for the world war either.

To put it bluntly, if World War III broke out in 2045, the United States would have no advantage, and even if it could take some initiative in the early stages of the war, it would be difficult to achieve a decisive victory. China could turn the situation around in two to three years with its stronger basic strength in economic and industrial power, while the United States would have difficulty reaching China's height during this period, and would inevitably lose the war.

According to the US Department of Defense's assessment, the United States will only have obvious advantages after 2050.

The question is, will China delay the war on India until after 2050?

The answer is obviously no. Since China has accelerated its pace of military construction, it will not delay time, but will try to advance the war against India as much as possible.

In this way, the United States has only one choice left, namely, indirectly support India and turn India into China's Waterloo.

Of course, this is not very accurate. To be precise, it should be to make China pay a large enough price in India to reduce China's overall strength and expand the United States' strategic advantages.

According to the Pentagon's assessment, if the war against India lasts for more than one year, China's economy will be significantly affected. In the next five to ten years, it must concentrate its efforts to resolve the legacy of the war and spend a lot of social resources to resolve internal conflicts caused by the war, thus losing to the United States in the arms race. If so, by around 2050, the United States will gain a decisive strategic advantage.

Obviously, the basic policy of the United States is to ensure that India persists for more than one year.

To this end, the United States strengthened military aid to India in 2040, not only providing a large amount of weapons and equipment, but also providing comprehensive personnel training. At that time, the United States also signed a secret agreement with India, that is, the Indian authorities would mobilize Indians to return to China.

When the Indian Foreign Minister secretly visited Washington, the United States' policy toward India had taken shape.

However, in terms of military considerations, the US authorities still have a concern, that is, India's military strength is too weak, and even if it receives full assistance from the United States, it is not on the same level as China. This level of gap cannot be resolved through assistance.

To put it bluntly, it is difficult for India to hold on for more than a year.

By the standard ten years ago, that is, the war potential shown by China during the Sino-Japanese War, as long as China does not seek to capture the entire territory of India, but changes India's political structure through military actions, to put it simply, to achieve regime change and support the pro-China government, India may not be able to hold on for even half a year.

Obviously, if China grabs the initiative, India will be defeated quickly.

In this regard, the only option is to let India take the initiative, that is, let India shoot the first shot when China is not ready for the war.

Of course, this shot must be shot accurately, and the war must be extended for at least half a year.

According to the information released later, as early as the end of 2044, the US military advisory group helped India formulate a war plan and suggested that India first attack China's military bases in the Indian Ocean, seize the control of the Indian Ocean, and cut off China's strategic routes.

Obviously, this war plan was not adopted by the Indian authorities.

The reason is very simple. Even if India can win on the marine battlefield, it will not be possible to win on the ground battlefield. The Chinese army can defeat the Indian army with a broken force, capture New Delhi, control the Ganges plain, and occupy the most densely populated areas of India, causing fatal damage to India.

When the Indian Foreign Minister visited Washington, the US authorities directly proposed the war plan.

This time, India has no choice.

All intelligence shows that China will start war with India within the year, and it is very likely to be in the second half of the year, so there is enough reason to believe that China will complete the final stage of war preparations in the first half of the year, and that is enough to defeat India in a shorter time.

No matter how India chooses, war will break out.
Chapter completed!
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