Chapter 20 Silence
Taking these factors into consideration, as long as you do not make mistakes in command, it is not difficult to defeat the Israeli army.
With Qi Kaiwei in charge, the command issues can basically be ignored. At least in the battle two days ago, Qi Kaiwei's orders were implemented.
However, this report has a serious flaw, namely, Qi Kaiwei did not mention the issue after defeating the Israeli army.
To put it simply, what should the Egyptian army go after winning the Sinai Peninsula?
According to Wei Chenglong's analysis, the main reason why Qi Kaiwei did not mention this issue is to avoid affecting Li Pingko's political decisions.
You know, even if the Egyptian army can defeat the Israeli army on the Sinai Peninsula, it may not necessarily be able to invade Israel.
The reason is very simple. As the front retires to the east, the logistics support of the Egyptian army will become increasingly difficult, and the Israeli army will gradually turn to internal combat. With one decline and the other rising, the advantages of the Egyptian army will disappear. If we consider the quality of the two armies, especially the combat capabilities shown by the Israeli army in adversity, it is impossible for the Egyptian army to defeat the Israeli army opposite the border, and it may even suffer a crushing defeat.
I'm afraid I can't think of what the result will be.
Not to mention, if it is severely defeated, the morale of the Egyptian army will fall, let alone in attacking Israel, it would be great to be able to defend the front line. The most typical example is the Fourth Middle East War. After the Egyptian army won the flag, the Israeli army seized the opportunity to counterattack, but it was defeated thousands of miles away. In the blink of an eye, it lost the fruit of victory, and finally Israel broke through the Suez Canal defense line. If it were not for the entire Arab country's action, took oil as weapons, and forced Western countries to stop military aid to Israel, the Egyptian army would probably not be able to defend Cairo.
If history repeats itself, the ending of the Egyptian army will not be much better.
In this way, Qi Kaiwei naturally ignored this issue in the situation report.
Mu Haoyang did not ignore this issue, but did not specifically mention it in the report he forwarded, because he also knew that Li Pingko should not be affected at this time.
This is why Qi Kaiwei submitted a situation report that played a crucial role.
According to the information released after the war, what Qi Kaiwei did not mention had a decisive impact on the US president.
At that time, the Pentagon also submitted a war situation analysis report to the White House, which clearly stated that even if the Egyptian Army can win on the Sinai Peninsula, it is unlikely to wipe out the main Israeli army's main force, because the Israeli army still firmly controls the transportation line to the country, and the Egyptian Army lacks long-distance principal and interest capabilities, so in the most unfavorable circumstances, the Israel Defense Force can withdraw its homeland and then rely on the local area to fight a strategic defense war, thwart the offensive spirit of the Egyptian army, and then take advantage of the Egyptian army's lack of logistics supply to launch a counterattack.
According to the prediction results given by the US military, Israel is very sure to defeat Egypt.
Of course, this has a prerequisite, that is, before Israel has run out of ammunition and food, the United States must lend a helping hand to provide Israel with ammunition and medicine.
It can be said that this is a crucial issue.
Although Israel had increased the production capacity of domestic ammunition factories before the outbreak of the war and purchased a batch of ammunition from the United States and European countries through various channels, especially tank ammunition, when the war broke out, the Israeli army's ammunition reserves were still far from meeting a large-scale war.
By the morning of September 25, two-thirds of the ammunition in the Israeli army had been used up!
If Baram hadn't defeated the Syrian army at lightning speed and ensured that the Golan Heights were safe, the Israeli army might have run out of stocks.
At that time, in order to support the combat troops on the Sinai Peninsula, the Israeli army had reduced the ammunition reserves of the Golan Heights to a minimum. It can be said that if the Syrian army could cheer up and launch an attack in time, the Israeli army on the Golan Heights would likely have no ammunition available.
Even if the Syrian army does nothing, with the combat intensity on the Sinai Peninsula, the Israeli army will consume all its ammunition within three to five days.
At that time, what the Israeli army lacked the most was tank ammunition, especially kinetic energy armor-piercing bombs.
According to the information released after the war, by the morning of the 25th, the kinetic energy armor-piercing bombs in Israel had been reduced to 34,000. If distributed evenly, each tank could only be divided into twelve. Under normal circumstances, the number of armor-piercing bombs for a tank was twenty-eight. In a tank battle, a tank needed at least one base of armor-piercing bombs, and a battle required at least two base of armor-piercing bombs for one tank. Even if the front-line troops reserved a base of armor-piercing bombs, the inventory could not meet the needs of a battle.
Without armor-piercing bombs, Israeli tanks are just unthreatening iron cans.
In fact, after the war broke out, the Israeli ambassador made a request to the United States, hoping that the United States could urgently provide a batch of tanks and ammunition. On the 22nd, the 24th and the 25th, the Israeli Prime Minister called the US President three times and mentioned the aid.
The US Department of Defense raised the issue of aid at this time, indicating that it is urgent.
The problem is that if the United States aids Israel, China will aid Egypt and Syria. If the United States provides tanks and ammunition to Israel, China will provide tanks to Egypt and Syria. If both major powers intervene, the aid provided by the United States will not be that important.
At that time, Cia had issued an alarm that the Chinese Army had sent a main army to station in Pakistan in the name of joint military exercises. The army was equipped with nearly a thousand Type 24 main battle tanks and more than 1,000 armored combat vehicles. If China decides to urgently assist Egypt and Syria, these equipment can arrive in Egypt by sea within five days, or by air within one week.
In comparison, the United States has no advantage in its situation.
At that time, the United States had only one division in Europe, with less than 400 tanks and more than 600 armored combat vehicles.
More importantly, Arab countries have already expressed their position that if Europe intervenes in this war, it will impose an oil embargo on Europe, so European countries may not necessarily cooperate with the United States. As long as the US military is prohibited from using its military bases, it will be difficult for the United States to mobilize the main combat equipment deployed in Europe.
If shipped from home, it will take at least one week to arrive in Israel.
In addition, the United States has to worry about the reaction of Arab countries. After all, the direct intervention of the United States will give Egypt and Syria enough reasons to convince other Arab countries.
Affected by these factors, on the morning of the 25th, the US President did not approve the provision of military aid to Israel.
However, the US president did not come forward to call for a ceasefire, because in his opinion, if the Israeli army can defeat the Egyptian army on the Sinai Peninsula, the United States will not have to rush to take action. Even if the situation is worse and the Israeli army is severely damaged, it can wait until the Egyptian army invades Israel before providing assistance.
Chapter completed!