Chapter 77 Micro Superpowers
As a country established in the war, Israel's basic policies are mainly about security.
Although Israel became a "mini-superpower" in the Middle East after the Fourth Middle East War, defeating the Arab countries that dared to challenge and always maintaining a clear military advantage, Israel has never relaxed its vigilance and never forgotten the painful lessons.
After the Gulf War in the early 1990s, Israel's security situation did not basically improve, but deteriorated. [bsp; Although Israel was very restrained in the Gulf War and ultimately failed to get Saddam to catch the handle. The multinational forces led by the United States used an extremely beautiful integrated air-ground war to open the curtain of modern warfare. With the collapse of the former Soviet Union, the United States' hegemony was consolidated, but Israel felt not a more stable security, but a more complex environment and a danger that could come at all times.
The reason is very simple, this war completely changed the situation in the Middle East.
After the war, many Arab countries such as Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Oman, and Jordan defected to the West and obtained advanced weapons from many countries such as the United States. The military strength of the Arab world was not weakened, but was significantly enhanced, while the contradiction between Israel and Syria was not alleviated at all.
According to information disclosed by the joint four parties, it was after this that Israel decided to expand the scale of its nuclear arsenal.
In a top-secret document submitted by Israel, it mentioned that before the Gulf War, Israel had only 20 nuclear warheads, and all of them were atomic bombs with an equivalent volume of about 20,000 tons. From 1991 to 2001, Israel created 100 nuclear warheads, of which 80 were hydrogen bombs.
During this period, Israel's defense policy also changed.
In another document, the Israeli Ministry of Defense has formulated a complete strategic strike plan, that is, after the Arab countries actively launched a war and the strategic defense line between the Golan Heights and the Sinai Peninsula was broken, nuclear weapons will be used to destroy Cairo, Damascus, Baghdad, Beirut, Amman, Riyadh, Doha, Abu Dhabi, Muscat, Sarah, Tripoli, Khartoum, Algiers, Rabat, as well as large cities with populations of more than one million, such as Basra, Alexander, Benghazi, Mecca.
The program was named "Operation Doom".
To put it bluntly, Israel will die with the Arab state when its country is under a fatal threat.
It can be seen from this that Israel's national security is entirely based on nuclear threats.
By the beginning of the 21st century, with the United States launching a "war on terrorism", Israel's security situation improved, mainly because Arab countries actively draw clear lines with extremist organizations to avoid being hit by the United States. Subsequently, political turmoil and civil war broke out in Egypt, Libya, Syria and other countries, which weakened the strength of Arab countries and made Israel let go of its tense nerves for the first time.
Unfortunately, the good times didn't last long.
The Second Korean War brought the "War on Terror" to an end, and also brought the United States' expansion momentum to its peak, turning to a period of strategic contraction.
The weakening of the United States' influence is definitely not a good thing for Israel.
Although China did not immediately enter the Middle East, but spent more than ten years to resolve surrounding problems, the Islamic movement initiated by Iran poses a very great threat to Israel. Fortunately, the United States did not withdraw from the Middle East immediately, but regarded the Middle East as a battlefield to contain China.
In the past decade, Israel's security situation has not deteriorated to the point of threatening survival.
However, over the past decade, the Israelites, especially the hardline leaders of Israel, have formed a consensus that Israel's security cannot be completely entrusted to the United States. To put it more tactfully, the United States is very important. Without the protection of the United States, Israel will not survive for a day, but the United States can no longer provide sufficient security protection for Israel. Only a more independent security and defense policy can ensure that Israel is not subject to foreign invasions.
That's why Israel has raised its status as a nuclear threat.
According to the published data, between 2014 and 2024, Israel produced another forty nuclear warheads. Because the same number of nuclear warheads were eliminated, the total amount did not increase, but the equivalent was generally increased. One hundred and twenty nuclear warheads were all hydrogen bombs, and the explosion equivalent was more than one million tons.
While improving the nuclear warhead, Israel is also developing delivery methods.
Before that, the main delivery tool was fighter jets. After 2014, Israel developed a ballistic missile with a range of 3,000 kilometers and a submarine-launched cruise missile with a range of 1,500 kilometers, completed the miniaturization of nuclear warheads, and had the trinity-integrated strategic strike capability.
Of course, Israel's strategic retaliation plan should also be introduced.
According to the retaliation plan formulated by the Israeli Ministry of Defense, even if Iran has nuclear weapons and launches an attack first, as long as one-third of the nuclear warheads survive, it can destroy the Arab world and Iran and cause unbearable losses to the Islamic state.
It is this basic security policy that has prevented Israel from cooperating in Washington’s nuclear disarmament negotiations.
The problem is that this uncooperational attitude does not bring much benefit to Israel.
After the "Washington Treaty" comes into effect, except for the five nuclear powers, other countries with nuclear or attempting to possess nuclear weapons will face new threats, that is, any nuclear power may launch war against countries that attempt to possess nuclear weapons on the grounds of nuclear issues.
For Israel, this means that the role of nuclear threats on national security has been greatly weakened.
To put it bluntly, if Israel uses nuclear weapons in a war with Arab countries, even if it can destroy the Arab world, it will be devastating, because no nuclear power tolerate Israel's wanton use of nuclear weapons, and even the United States will not compromise.
In this way, if a war breaks out with the Arab world, Israel may not dare to use nuclear weapons.
For Arab countries, this is also the reason for launching a war against Israel.
What's even more serious is that after this, Arab countries began to strengthen their conventional arms, and Arab countries like Egypt and Syria that pose a direct threat to Israel have strengthened their cooperation with China, proactively purchasing arms from China and replacing American weapons and equipment.
In the eyes of Israeli hardliners, this is a clear signal that Arab countries are actively preparing for war.
At this time, the problem arises.
If a conventional arms race is held with the Arab world, Israel will definitely not be the opponent. With a large number of Chinese-made weapons and equipment flowing into Arab countries, Israel not only has a farther difference in quantity, but also has lost its advantage in quality, and can no longer use conventional forces to deal with potential threats.
The result is that Israel must strengthen its nuclear threat and develop a more tough strategic strike plan.
To put it bluntly, it is to use mutual destruction to curb the ambition of Arab countries to launch wars, and to regard nuclear weapons as active means of offensive rather than retaliation.
According to the disclosed information, around 2030, the Israeli Ministry of Defense formulated a strategic strike plan: on the day of the war, use nuclear weapons to destroy large and medium-sized cities in all Arab countries, eliminate more than 60% of the Arabs, and force Arab countries not to start war easily.
It must be recognized that Israel's defense policy is very effective.
At that time, the conventional military power of Arab countries had far exceeded that of Israel, at least in terms of the ownership and performance of weapons and equipment. Even considering the quality of military personnel, because the gap between the two sides was too huge, Israel had no advantage.
Under this circumstance, the Middle East has maintained a relatively peaceful situation.
If there was no nuclear threat, the Arab countries would have started war long ago.
The problem is that this situation lasted only five years.
After the United States proposes to completely destroy nuclear weapons, Israel must make a choice, namely, to choose between one hundred and twenty nuclear warheads and the United States' security commitment.
There is no doubt that the Israelites who have always put survival first will not choose the latter.
More importantly, some of the nuclear documents submitted by Israel to the Quartet were seriously missing from 2031 to 2035. Although the Israeli authorities claimed that after the entry into force of the "Washington Treaty", Israel was not a party to the treaty, and the missing documents included inventory information for nuclear weapons, so the Israeli authorities' explanation was unconvincing.
In other words, Israel deliberately concealed the nuclear weapons and equipment plan for the past five years.
Based on this, China insists that Israel has secretly created nuclear warheads in the past five years, and the scale of the nuclear arsenal is definitely more than 120.
Combining Israel’s history over the past few decades, it is not difficult to understand that Israel must have hidden some nuclear warheads.
Perhaps the number is not large, about ten, but it is enough to ensure that Israel continues to maintain its original policy, namely, to use nuclear threats to curb the war attempts of Arab countries.
If this is true, Israel's nuclear issue will inevitably become the fuse for the full outbreak of Sino-US conflicts.
In China's view, Israel's nuclear issue is not an Israeli problem, but an American problem, that is, the United States has the responsibility to restrain Israel, rather than indulge Israel, nor help Israel hide its nuclear warheads. Otherwise, China would have no reason to give up its right to possess nuclear weapons.
In the United States' view, this is not an Israeli problem, but a China problem, because China is trying to use the Israeli nuclear issue to enter the Middle East. More importantly, the United States has a security commitment to Israel. If China launches a war without conclusive evidence, the United States will not sit idly by.
Of course, wars didn't break out so easily.
For at least three to five years, China will not focus on war on Israel's nuclear issue, because the life and death of human civilization is even more important.
The question is, will China still tolerate it in three to five years?
For the worst, if evidence of Israel hiding a nuclear warhead is obtained, China will not stop and will need support from Middle Eastern countries.
Chapter completed!