Chapter 232 Political War
The armistice negotiations are in full swing, but neither side will sign a armistice agreement until the most important issues are resolved.
The most important question is how to draw a military dividing line for the armistice.
In the final analysis, it is how much the US and South Korean authorities are willing to pay to "redemption" the north bank of the Linchuan River.
On January 21, an assessment team composed of personnel from six countries including Russia, Japan, Iran, Venezuela, South Africa, Brazil arrived in South Korea, and then divided into two routes, heading to the north bank of the Linchuan River and to the northeastern region of South Korea for on-site surveys.
Obviously, this is just a show.
That night, Huang Zhibo received a call from Lu Fenglie and set off for Beijing.
This time, he did not go to the General Staff, but met Lu Fenglie at the airport, and then went to the head of state with Lu Fenglie.
Obviously, the Head of State has made a decision, but some important issues have not been resolved.
"In the afternoon, the Russian ambassador came." Fu Xiubo's expression was a little serious, not as relaxed as the war was about to end. "The assessment team has arrived in South Korea, but based on what we learned, the assessment results are likely to be dissatisfied with both sides."
"Why?"
"To put it simply, this is to let South Korea cede land." Fu Xiubo smiled and said, "If possible, we will try our best to win interests for North Korea. The reasonable proportion is about five times, that is, South Korea uses about 10,000 square kilometers of land exchange in the northeast region for 2,000 square kilometers of land on the north bank of the Lincheon River. But in this way, almost half of the Gangwon road has to be allocated to North Korea, and Seoul's strategic security is still not guaranteed."
Huang Zhibo smiled and expressed his understanding of the meaning of Fu Xiubo's words.
South Korea's Gangwon Province is close to Gyeonggi Province. The volunteer army has controlled about 3,000 square kilometers of land in the north of Gangwon Province. If another 10,000 square kilometers is ceded, it is equivalent to giving up most of the Gangwon Province. By then, the volunteer army will not only pose a threat to Seoul from the north, but also attack from east to west.
Although theoretically speaking, after the armistice, the volunteers will definitely evacuate North Korea and can only maintain a small ground force in North Korea at most, not many years ago, even if China withdraws troops from North Korea, it will not give up all rights in North Korea and will help North Korea rebuild the People's Army after the war. As long as the Korean Peninsula is still in a state of division, South Korea will not be under reduced military threats.
The South Korean authorities will definitely not accept the cedes of 10,000 square kilometers of land.
"Of course, we can't ask for such a high demand. I called Li Pingko and our bottom line was one to three, that is, South Korea would have to ced at least 6,000 square kilometers of land."
"This is not very realistic," Huang Zhibo muttered.
"So we have to recognize the situation. The armistice negotiations may not necessarily lead to results." Fu Xiubo paused for a moment and said, "Of course, there are no other solutions, such as solving territorial problems through compensation and other means, so that the United States and South Korea can pay war reparations."
Huang Zhibo was stunned and looked at Fu Xiubo in disbelief.
"But there is a very big problem with this solution, that is, the payment of war reparations by the United States and South Korea is equivalent to admitting the invasion of North Korea, which is politically unacceptable. In the end, the United States and South Korea are likely to provide free aid to North Korea in the name of helping North Korea carry out post-war reconstruction. Of course, these are all later stories. In the current perspective, as long as we adhere to the basic principles, the war is likely to continue."
Huang Zhibo sighed secretly. It is easy to start a war, but it is difficult to end a war.
"I asked you to come back just to hear your opinions."
Huang Zhibo was stunned and said, "If the coalition forces do not plan to truce, we have to continue to fight until the coalition forces are willing to sign an armistice agreement with us."
Fu Xiubo smiled and looked at Lu Fenglie.
"The fight must be fought. The key is how to fight so that the coalition forces can sign a ceasefire agreement with us as soon as possible."
Huang Zhibo pondered for a moment and said, "If we aim for the truce, we cannot attack Seoul, at least we cannot occupy Seoul."
Fu Xiubo nodded, expressing his agreement with Huang Zhibo's point of view.
Politically speaking, if the volunteers conquer Seoul, South Korea will not surrender, at least it will not surrender immediately, and the United States will have no reason to withdraw. You should know that if the United States withdrew its troops after losing Seoul, it will not only discard the entire South Korea, but also make other allies feel heartbroken, thus causing a fatal blow to the US global alliance system. In addition, the Volunteers' capture of Seoul, giving the United States reason to accuse North Korea of invading South Korea, clearing legal obstacles and paving the way for comprehensive military mobilization and investing more troops in South Korea.
"If you don't hit Seoul, how can you fight?"
"On the front line, fight a war of attrition with the coalition forces."
Fu Xiubo and Lu Fenglie both frowned, letting Huang Zhibo make the words clearer.
"Of course, it is consumed by the coalition forces, not the volunteers." Huang Zhibo smiled reluctantly and said, "If the United States and South Korea refuse to accept our ceasefire demand, it is mainly because the coalition forces have capital to let go, and there is still hope to turn the situation around. Only by destroying the coalition forces can the US and South Korea authorities realize that it is impossible to get more benefits from the war. It is possible that we have to push the front southward and occupy more areas. In this way, in the next ceasefire negotiation, we can make appropriate concessions and give the United States and South Korea a step forward."
"So, are you sure?"
"I can't say I'm sure, I can only fight."
Fu Xiubo's brows jumped a few times. In his opinion, Huang Zhibo was not deliberately modest.
"At this time, the Volunteer Army suffered a lot of losses. More importantly, even if we take action now, the US military can use four divisions, and it is very likely to use the other two divisions. It can be said that even if the attack is opened, even if the entire main force is invested, the Volunteer Army will not be able to gain a advantage."
"You have seven armies in your hands."
"It is true, but in the first two battles, the volunteers focused on mobile warfare and made full use of the mistakes made by the coalition forces. "Huang Zhibo forced a smile and said, "The most telling thing is that in the second battle, the 24th Army's combat operations. With the advantage of military strength, the 24th Army has not been able to break through the defense line of the Third Infantry Division, and has paid a very heavy price. The death rate of officers and soldiers is twice that of the US military, and the equipment loss rate is more than three times that of the US military. It can be said that lack of offensive ability is a problem that we cannot avoid and cannot be solved in the short term. If we have to attack the strategic defense line of the coalition forces, we must be mentally prepared to defeat the war."
Fu Xiubo frowned and looked at Lu Fenglie.
Chapter completed!