Chapter 128 The Fermi Paradox
"The controlled nuclear fusion demonstration reactor project led by our country and carried out in conjunction with the United States and other countries was successfully completed today under the leadership of Lu Yilu Chief Engineer Lu Yi, with the energy conversion efficiency reaching 41.6%, far exceeding that of ordinary thermal power plants and conventional fission reactors.
In this project, we have achieved a total breakthrough in superconducting materials, the first breakthrough in inner wall materials, lithium neutron recycling... "
In the world's most-watched news broadcast at night, a special report lasting more than 5 minutes was given for today's demonstration reactor ignition test. At the same time, major media from other countries also began to release special reports.
Under the crazy publicity resources, not only the news of the official breakthrough of controlled nuclear fusion spread throughout the world, but Lu Yi's personal reputation also completed the leap from domestic to the world.
The scene of closing your eyes and pressing the start button, the serious and handsome side face also made countless young ladies feel guilty.
You are not afraid that others will be more handsome than you, but you are afraid that others will be more handsome than you, and you will be richer than you, and your achievements will also beat you up ten streets.
"The scarf exploded! What a broken server!"
Zhou Ying was not in the laboratory tonight, and gathered in the living room with Li Yashan and the others to watch the news broadcast and brush the scarf.
After a few minutes of the news broadcast of the controllable nuclear fusion message, the shaking girl who was happily brushing her scarf suddenly found that the scarf interface could not be loaded, and the server exploded!
As one of the protagonists, Zhang Qing, who was sent to various private messages and Etka, couldn't even move his cell phone, had no choice but to put down her phone, looked at Li Yashan and Lin Meng, and the few of them looked at Lu Yi who was leaning on the balcony and pondering.
Zhang Qing walked to the balcony and said, "Director Wang called and asked about the announcement conference about when they would be ready in advance."
"In 3 days, the demonstration reactor is being adjusted in the past two days. It is confirmed that the design power will be achieved to officially announce the successful commercial application."
Lu Yi shook his head. Although today's test of deuterium and tritium is not mg grade, it only used 5g for experimental ignition to generate electricity.
In the next two days, the demonstration reactor will be adjusted one after another, and the energy density of fusion will be gradually increased, and the designed power will be increased until the 32,000MW. That will be considered officially successful.
"I'm still thinking about the issue of Earth's heat dissipation?"
Zhang Qing and Li Yashan and Lin Meng quietly made a gesture, signaling that there was no problem, and then continued to ask.
Seeing Zhang Qing's gesture, Li Yashan and Lin Meng and others also walked out. Just now, they saw Lu Yi on the balcony and thought that today's incident had caused emotional impact, so Zhang Qing came out first to inquire.
After all, it involves the issue of earth's cooling, only among the few people who have studied the issue of space station cooling can talk to Lu Yi.
"No."
Lu Yi saw Li Yashan and others and smiled and said, "I'm thinking about the paradox that Fermi raised in the 1950s."
"The alien...where are they?"
Li Yashan asked, those who study physics would have a certain understanding of this famous paradox.
"Yes, I have been thinking before that they are not non-existent, but that except for a few lucky people, the rest are trapped on the planet.
But at that time, all I thought of was energy reasons, because it was indeed a problem that could trap most civilizations on the planet."
Lu Yi sighed and stretched out his hand to analyze: "The energy used by civilization can be divided from the physical level, changing the chemical energy of the molecular level structure, changing the nuclear energy of the atomic level structure, and the disintegration of matter that is still in fantasy that hasrons collapsed, or higher-level space-time energy.
The chemical energy quality and energy efficiency are too low, and the propellant mass ratio is too poor. It can be used as low-altitude space, but not deep space or interstellar navigation.
For nuclear energy, fission is simple, but the rarity of fission elements and the risk of spontaneous chain reactions that exceed mass limits, such as the disadvantages of fission energy being unsuitable for space navigation.
There is no need to think about material disintegration and space-time energy, so after thinking about it, the only thing that can help civilization get rid of the constraints of the planet and move towards the starry sky is nuclear fusion.
Fusion elements have extremely high content in the universe, are easy to store and purify, and their mass-energy efficiency is higher than fission heavy elements.
However, everyone has also understood how difficult the problems and problems involved in controlled nuclear fusion are. To be honest, if the plasma turbulence model does not break through and cannot optimize the control plan, it will not be able to break through even hundreds of years.
Because in this way, the consumption of the magnetically constrained magnetic field will increase exponentially, the energy efficiency will not be good first, and the superconducting material of the coil needs to be better. The biggest difficulty of the first inner wall material will not be neutron radiation resistance. The most terrifying problem of the first inner wall is the resistance to neutron radiation.
Without an optimized control solution, the compatibility between the plasma and the constrained magnetic field will be poor and will be fiercely collided and conflicted at all times.
In this way, under the energy density of the demonstration reactor, people know how many ultra-high temperature plasmas are discrete from the magnetic field.
And this is a purely theoretical problem. If you don’t expect the detection idea and do not have a powerful mathematician, this problem will never be solved.
Fortunately, our Professor Lin is very good. He can summarize data such a chaotic plasma using a mathematical model, otherwise everyone will still be spending money in the laboratory now."
Everyone looked at Professor Lin. Lu Yi rarely praised someone in public like this. After all, women are jealous...
"But now, I think energy technology is a big barrier, but the more dangerous thing that is most likely to bury civilization inside the planet is the thermal pollution crisis involved behind the breakthrough in energy technology.
You may not understand what I felt when I saw the data analyzed in the afternoon. I was filled with fear, luck, and even more happy about the fate of mankind."
Lu Yi ignored everyone's thoughts, still feeling a little scared in his eyes, and then said: "This simulation is based on data that the total human power has increased by 20 times after the breakthrough of controllable nuclear fusion.
With a 20-fold increase in power, humans can fall into doomsday in 23 years, but in fact, the change of the earth's ecological environment will be irreversible by about 2017, and humans will survive after 17 years.
My authority is higher than you. After discovering a potential thermal pollution crisis these days, I asked the above about the strategic plan after the breakthrough of controlled nuclear fusion. What do you think I found?"
"The total amount of energy involved in the plan is very large?" Zhang Qing saw the palpitation in Lu Yi's eyes, and seemed to have guessed something.
"It's not big, it's very big, and even terrifying!"
Lu Yi said with a wry smile: "Relying on controlled nuclear fusion, this is almost endless energy, the above plan to restart all projects that have been stuck in the past years due to resource problems or have been cut down due to huge expenses.
People's livelihood, military and scientific research are flourishing, especially the investment in scientific research can make people's livelihood and military work together. It seems that the strategy of scientific research to develop the country is truly deeply rooted in people's hearts.
I can't tell you the specific details, so I will talk about one data. After the breakthrough of controlled nuclear fusion, in order to meet the needs of the strategic plan, it is planned to build 180 controlled nuclear fusion reactors with a power of 63,000 MW nationwide within three years, and the number of these reactors will reach 400 within five years."
"Is it crazy above?"
Zhang Qing, Li Yashan, Lin Meng and others, who understood what this data meant, widened their eyes.
You should know that Guangdong Province's total power consumption in 2017 was only 595.897 billion kilowatt-hours, ranking first in domestic provinces. However, with such a terrifying power consumption, a controlled nuclear fusion reactor with a power of 63,000MW would be almost the same if it was smashed.
Now, there are 180 nuclear fusion reactors in three years and 400 in five years to build and put them into use.
In this way, based on the total power consumption of 6.3 trillion kilowatt-hours in the country in 2017, once this plan is implemented, it means that the total power consumption of China will exceed 36 times in five years.
After removing controllable nuclear fusion applications, oil energy consumption is reduced, and it is conservatively estimated to be 28 times. Such a plan is no longer enough to describe it as crazy.
"It's not crazy, but everyone turned their eyes to the starry sky."
Lu Yi shook his head and said, "Not only us, but also the United States and Russia must have similar plans. Controlled nuclear fusion has not made any breakthroughs, so he dared not think about it, so he had to focus on the inside of the earth.
But now that controllable nuclear fusion has broken through, everyone is eager to turn their attention to space and the solar system.
So I felt very lucky and lucky at the time. Otherwise, if we continue to implement this plan, if we realize the crisis of thermal pollution a little three years later, the ecological dress-up of the earth will never be reversed.
By then, what awaits our humans will either be extinction or the population will disappear, and the development potential of post-99s will no longer be there.
I believe that some of the alien civilizations like us in the Fermi Paradox will be trapped in the energy technology bottleneck, but most of them are broken through with controllable nuclear fusion, but they have not resisted the temptation of power increase, and greatly increased their power and eventually struggled to die in the thermal pollution crisis.
Controllable nuclear fusion, it is like a seductive poisonous apple with a skin covered with poison.
It was so tempting that it was so tempting that everyone could hardly control themselves and peel them, so tempting that everyone wanted to eat it impatiently.
After all, it would be fine if you ate so many apples before and didn’t peel them, so this time you would subconsciously think that it would be fine if you eat them directly.
But if you really can't control yourself and eat it rashly without peeling it, the toxicity on it will poison people to death."
"Lu Lu, this is a bit unusual. With such a serious crisis of thermal pollution, I think the scientists in the atmospheric or earth environment in the think tank above should be able to realize it and issue a warning."
Zhang Qing felt a little strange. For such a serious crisis problem, there was no reaction from the above, but instead allowed such a crazy strategic plan to be formulated.
"Someone must have realized it, just like Rupert discovered this problem early on, realizing that excessive use of energy will lead to an increase in the total heat of the environment and cause serious ecological problems.
But he didn't realize that the problem would be so serious, and I think no one else would realize that it was so serious.
In the absence of corresponding mathematical model simulation analysis, everyone's mental estimate should be a hundred years later, hundreds of years later.
Even if someone vaguely realizes that this time may be very fast, it cannot be said without data support."
Lu Yi said with a wry smile: "This is a very simple human nature problem and a very reasonable scientific thinking.
With the breakthrough of controlled nuclear fusion, the construction of the whole nation is launched, and the country is aiming at the starry sky, if you don’t have data support, you can withstand everyone’s doubts. Even if you say it without data support, it lacks persuasion and no one will believe you.
The climate problem itself is difficult to solve. El Niño is exhausted every year, which has caused headaches for every climate expert. So even if the extreme weather abnormalities were shown in the aggravated heat pollution in the past few years, no one would have thought that it would be so serious.
But once the power is not controlled, the reaction time of the previous few years is missed, and when the environmental ecology deteriorates rapidly, it will be too late to react at that time, and the ecological doomsday change of clothes is already irreversible."
"So the key to this problem is your data model!" Zhang Qing and others realized the key to the thermal pollution problem.
"Yes, it is a mathematical model. Theories and conjectures supported by data are called science, and those without model and data are called delusions.
No one will believe a delusional end. When you say it, people will probably say that you should not be a scientist, but a screenwriter and director.”
The points spent on modifying and building the new model flashed through Lu Yi's mind, and he sighed and said, "Under normal circumstances, even if the entire human civilization's atmospheric environment and the earth science scientists and sufficient supercomputing resources are impossible to build without more than two years of hard work.
Thermal pollution, it does not matter your energy efficiency, it only matters your total energy.
Energy that cannot be converted due to efficiency problems will be released into the environment in various forms such as mechanical heat dissipation, mechanical conduction, friction, etc.
The effective energy that is successfully converted will still be released into the environment through various methods such as heat dissipation, radiation, convection and other methods during the energy transmission and energy consumption.
In other words, once energy is released from matter and produced, it will definitely belong to the environment.
So if every civilization is like us this time, once the controllable nuclear fusion breaks through, it will not be able to withstand the temptation of power, then the thermal pollution problem will be unsolvable. Civilizations will not have time to go to the interstellar world and will struggle to perish in ecological dress-up!"
"If this is the case, wouldn't that mean that the speed of development of civilization will be limited, and even the power of warships of interstellar civilizations and the power of colonial stars will be limited?
Because the earth is equivalent to a large space station, it will cause a crisis due to heat dissipation problems, so it will be the same if it is a colonial planet. If it is a warship, the problem will be even more serious.
Unless everyone has been living in isolation areas or wearing space suits, the heat generated is constantly discharged to the outside world, but over time, the external environment will be extremely difficult to discharge."
Li Yashan raised a question: energy will definitely release energy into the environment during the consumption process. If this problem is not solved, will the internal environment of the warships deteriorate when they fire a few guns, and then fire a few more guns, everyone will steam shrimps internally?
After all, it is difficult to release heat in space, and it only accumulates inside.
"No, after realizing the serious crisis of thermal pollution, with more energy efficiency controlled nuclear fusion, the heat dissipation problem can still be solved.
As long as the energy absorbed from the environment is greater than the energy released, the idea is very simple."
Lu Yi shook his head and said, "But the problem of cooling is not urgent. The most important thing now is to tell the above and prevent the plan to be implemented."
Chapter completed!