Chapter 431 Loans
"Here you come!"
Zhou Shuo's heart was slightly turbulent, and he knew that Tang Tao's seemingly unintentional words were actually the real reason for the meeting today.
For Tang Tao, the previous conversations, there was no need to take time to specifically meet Zhou Shuo. If he wanted to know the operation of Fanhan Group, with just one instruction, the understanding he could get would only be more detailed than what Zhou Shuo knew.
After all, Tang Tao was also the secretary of the provincial party committee of Bohai Province. If it were false, he would be considered a vassal official and a prince. How could his time be so cheap on the ground of Bohai Province?
Therefore, only this thing that he could not find out was worth Tang Tao personally condescending to summon Zhou Shuo.
"Yes, when Director Lang came to Fanhan Group, I handed him a letter of analysis and investigation." Zhou Shuo nodded openly. This matter was not necessary to be kept confidential, and no one asked him to keep it confidential, right? Naturally, I can't conceal Tang Tao for this, which made the provincial party secretary unhappy.
"I heard that Xiao Zhou, you are doing a lot of business in the United States. It seems that you have a deep research in the field of finance!" Tang Tao nodded and said thoughtfully.
"But do you have some confidence in the Southeast Asian financial crisis?"
He was able to condescend to ask, which showed the weight of this matter in Tang Tao's heart. After all, it was impossible to believe something that was registered in the heart of the provincial party secretary, after hearing Zhou Shuo's words, he could not believe it rashly.
Tang Tao's eyes were stretching and he was also considering whether he believed in Zhou Shuo. With his twenties, it was really sensational to say that he had made achievements in business operations and financial economy. But if he was just arrogant, why did x Office have some small actions and small rumors spread recently?
Tang Tao said he was not curious about this question, which was false. Is this Zhou Shuo able to do anything?
"It's not the Southeast Asian financial crisis. I think it's at least a financial crisis that most parts of East Asia will fall into." Zhou Shuo said seriously: "The current East Asian economy is known as the four little dragons and four little tigers. But in fact, the economic model defects of Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia and Singapore can be said to be full of holes. Even if there is no financial crisis in the near future, it will sooner or later be targeted by international financial giants. The analysis results I obtained in some financial data in the United States indicate that there are probably financial speculators preparing for this..."
Zhou Shuo prepared for the Asian financial crisis as the top priority, and all economic policies and data were in mind. At this time, Tang Tao asked, he was naturally able to get it.
In particular, Zhou Shuo pointed out that the Asian financial crisis will make the Japanese economy worse, causing the slightly improved Japanese economy to fall back to the trough. The result is the transfer of the international shipbuilding industry. It is the opportunity for heavy industry in the Bohai Province. Japan is currently the country with the largest shipbuilding market share in the world. Once a financial crisis occurs, the depreciation of the yen will directly cause the cost of importing raw materials, which will have a huge impact on the shipbuilding industry.
Perhaps, a new round of shipbuilding transfer will begin.
Bohai Province, a traditional heavy industrial coastal province, embraces the large bathtub of Bohai, and has unique advantages in the shipbuilding industry.
Although Wang Daming, who was standing by, was dizzy when he heard it, he kept memorizing the pen in his hand. He could finish a page of paper in almost two or three minutes. Zhou Shuo had no response to this. Anyway, the data and policies he mentioned were real, so he was not afraid of others verifying it.
Before the Asian financial crisis broke out, at least in 1996, the economies of East Asian countries were still thriving. Compared with the difficulties in the country, there were not many people who advocated learning these "advanced" experiences. Zhou Shuo's pessimistic view is at least an absolute minority report in the academic community.
Tang Tao listened quietly to Zhou Shuo's introduction. Until he was tired of speaking, he brought him a cup of tea and asked in confusion: "Since Xiao Zhou, you have these insights, why don't you write it into an article and publish it? At present, there is no conclusion on how China will go in the future. It is the time when more people need to participate."
Zhou Shuo smiled bitterly and shook his head and said, "Secretary Tang respects me so much. Although I have some money and some scientific research achievements, it does not mean that there is a say in the economics community. If I rashly say these words, one day, East Asian countries will not be grateful to me. Not only will they not be grateful, but they may also doubt me..."
Tang Tao was silent for a moment and nodded slowly.
He is also a mature and knowledgeable politician. He can easily think that if East Asian countries are reported by Zhou Shuo, a financial crisis will really break out next year. That will definitely be a big and small trouble for the Panhan Group.
People in this world are the same, and they always believe in what they want to believe. Before the financial crisis occurs, the East Asian economy will only be disliked and feel that the Fanhan Group is not aware of the current affairs.
If that's all, it's okay, but the worst thing is that after making a prediction, things really happened like a prophecy.
At that time, people will not admire the prophet's insight, but will think that he brought disaster. This has happened countless times in history and will continue to happen. People who have suffered financial crises in East Asian countries will subconsciously put the blame on him.
"If it weren't for Zhou Shuo's article, would international speculators not have discovered these financial loopholes?"
"Is this person's article attracting the attention of financial speculators? Without his reminder, these financial speculators might not have discovered these problems."
"This person publicly published this theory for financial speculators, must be a group of people. Otherwise, why didn't he tell us this conclusion quietly so that we could make up for it?"
Generally speaking, this kind of thinking will immediately become the mainstream of society, right?
It was like after the financial crisis, Indonesia's economy collapsed. The locals did not resent Americans such as Soros, but instead robbed the bow and killed the local Chinese. The more they were servile people in the face of power, the more cruel they were when facing people who were weaker than him.
This is also the reason why Zhou Shuo did not choose to publicly express this view. Moreover, even if the problem is placed on the table of the ruling people of East Asian countries at this time, they may not believe it, and they will not have the courage to correct it.
"Okay, let's not care about them." Tang Tao nodded and asked, "Since you think the East Asian financial crisis is imminent, then is there any way for us to use this crisis to strengthen our own economy?"
Zhou Shuo was shocked and nodded quickly. Faced with the East Asian financial crisis, he certainly could not just use it to make his reputation. Anyway, the East Asian economy is harvested by Americans, and his own harvest can be regarded as the harvest of Asia and the waters of the outsiders will not flow to the fields of outsiders.
"In fact, when the financial crisis comes, there is a way to make a profit that is the easiest and most suitable for the government to use." Zhou Shuo said confidently: "That is government loans."
"Government loan?" Tang Tao tilted his head and listened carefully to Zhou Shuo's speech.
"Yes, government loans." He nodded vigorously and repeated.
"The basis of the financial crisis is caused by the current insufficient foreign exchange reserves of the US dollar in various countries. Once international speculators launch an attack, the most affected will inevitably be the exchange rate of currencies of various countries against the US dollar."
"That is, in the simplest case, for example, in Japan, a loan of money is used to lend it to a portion of the US dollar, and the rest is used for purchases. When the financial crisis breaks out and the yen exchange rate plummets, we will exchange that portion of the US dollar for yen and return it to the Japanese bank. With this turnaround, the equipment will be profitable in vain."
"This model is most suitable for government loans, with simple operation and low risk. Moreover, because the government loans have high credit, the amount of money that can be loaned will be large, and the returns will be very good."
"Even if the financial crisis has not occurred, the equipment purchased by government loans can effectively stimulate the economic development of the province."
Tang Tao looked at Wang Daming sideways, and saw that he had just recorded Zhou Shuo’s statement, so he nodded gently. Tang Tao knew that he could no longer take out anything, stood up and reached out to Zhou Shuo.
"I'd better call you Mr. Zhou." Tang Tao's voice was amiable and he said with a smile: "After listening to your class, you always have to respect your teachers and say that it is not."
Zhou Shuo knew that the meeting with Tang Tao today ended here. He quickly stood up in a regular manner, stretched out his hands to hold his right hand, and said ashamed: "What did Secretary Tang say? Even for the sake of the 40 million fellow villagers in Bohai Province, I should know everything and say everything. But all this is just my speculation. If the province makes any decisions, I hope it is better to be cautious."
The butterfly effect caused by Zhou Shuo's rebirth is already quite large, and he is not sure that the Asian financial crisis will break out next year. So he dare not speak full, but be careful and there is no big mistake anyway.
"Of course." Tang Tao laughed, shook his arm gently and said, "Fanhan Group is a key enterprise in the province. I hope you will achieve more achievements in the future and make more contributions to the Bohai economy."
"Oh, by the way!" Tang Tao really suddenly remembered this time and said with a smile: "Mr. Zhou is not only from Xiucheng, but also from our Bohai Province. You have a bigger horizon in doing business, don't always stay in Xiucheng. Fengtian is a good city, and Mr. Zhou is also welcome to invest."
Zhou Shuo was stunned for a moment, and nodded with a silent smile. It seemed that his approach to holding a nest was indeed a bit difficult for the province. Seeing the rapid development of the economy of Xiucheng, Fengtian, the provincial capital, was a little uneasy.
Chapter completed!