Chapter 174 Two-pronged approach(1/2)
"Zhang Xiaotian does this again and asks him to come to me by himself. Don't worry about the affairs within the Navy."
"If you really can ignore it, that's fine."
Zhou Yongtao smiled, knowing that Lin Shiping was just complaining and had no other meaning.
"But seriously, shouldn't you really worry if you continue to develop according to this situation?"
"Worrying can solve the problem?"
Lin Shiping was stunned for a moment and couldn't help but sigh.
"When we made this deployment, we considered various situations. Even the worst results were within acceptable limits."
"That means that the war will last for several years, and hundreds of thousands, or even millions of soldiers will die for their country."
"So, we need to take risks and bear the consequences of taking risks."
After Zhou Yongtao said this, Lin Shiping sighed heavily again.
As early as July, shortly after the outbreak of the Posa Bay War, Zhou Yongtao emphasized the possibility of the third global war at the Supreme Military and Political Conference of the Empire. From that time on, Zhou Yongtao began to prepare for the third global war, especially the overall strategic policy.
As the intelligence leader, Lin Shiping participated in the strategic wargame deduction that followed.
The deduction was carried out three times in total, and several supercomputers were used. The work done by the Military Intelligence Bureau is to provide computing resources for the deduction.
As for the deduction results, there are no exceptions.
As long as you follow the routine of fighting a global war, even if you win a big victory in the early stages of the war, that is, in the first half of the year, it will take 4 to 5 years to defeat the main opponent and achieve a result that can be accepted by the empire and implemented.
Obviously, it will not be a complete victory.
Even if the most ideal result is achieved, it will only defeat the Western Continent Group, occupy and control the entire Western Continent, including the Great Man Empire, and basically complete the overall control of the world island. However, in the end, the combat plan to attack the Beigu Continent will still be abandoned due to the unbearable casualties and losses. The best result that can be achieved is only the occupation of the Wangxi Canal, and the control strength is very limited.
To achieve such a result, you will definitely have to pay a very tragic and even unbearable price.
Among the three strategic deductions, the best one was that the direct casualties exceeded 3 million, and there was no combat operation against Newland. In the worst one, the casualties exceeded 5 million, the local area was bombed, and the casualties were about 5 million.
What is the significance of such a victory?
Even if, according to the ideal result, controlling the entire world island after the war ends, it does not mean that hundreds of countries can be unified. From the overall perspective, we still have to withdraw troops from the enemy country while conducting post-war reconstruction and end the military occupation of the enemy country in stages.
In the long run, the shorter the military occupation against major hostile countries, the better.
The reason is also very simple. Without a basis of culture, tradition and belief, military occupation by force will only make the enemy united against the enemy.
The Boei War is a lesson for the past.
From this perspective, if the empire carried out military occupation of the Western Continent after the war, it would not only suffer a crushing defeat, but also promote the unification of the Western Continent.
In fact, this is a situation that the empire has been avoiding and trying to prevent.
After the Second Global War, the Empire spared no effort and did not care about past grudges to support Dongluosha, which was to use Dongluosha to restrain the Xilu Group.
To be fundamentally speaking, as long as the Xiluosha Group refuses to give up Xiluosha and regards Xiluosha as a country in the Western Mainland, it must support its great cause of unification. The existence of Dongluosha has become the main obstacle to the Xiluosha Group's comprehensive unification and development and growth, and a hurdle that must be overcome.
Give up Luo Sha?
Although in history, before the Second Global War, almost all countries in the Western Continent regarded Luo Sha as an alien and did not recognize Luo Sha as a Western country, even the Tianman Empire was no exception, Luo Sha seemed more intimate than the East led by the Liangxia Empire. The key is that countries in the Western Continent do need a solid barrier to resist the threat from the Liangxia Empire.
This fundamentally determines that Xiluosha will definitely not abandon Xiluosha.
It is precisely this that within more than forty years after the war, the Liangxia Empire could use the Dong Luosha to influence the Xi Luosha and curb the ambitions of the Tianman Empire.
That's right, it's the unification of the entire Western continent.
What to say is just like the Newland Republic fighting to retake the Hovay Islands, this is the number one strategic task of the Tyman Empire.
Unfortunately, the difficulty of unifying dozens of countries that have been divided for thousands of years is far greater than reclaiming an archipelago.
Not to mention the story of Luosha, it is very difficult to unify the countries in the narrow sense, that is, the western region of the Western Continent. For example, the Tauman Empire worked hard for decades after the war, but has not compromised the two allies during the war, the Raleigh Kingdom and the Sban Kingdom. These two victorious countries have become the main obstacle to the unification of the Western Continental Group.
Coupled with external factors, the Tauman Empire achieved nothing.
This is also the key to the decline of the Great Man Empire.
Although theoretically, even if political unification is achieved, neither the Taurus Empire nor the Western Land Kingdom with it as its core will be able to grow overnight. It will take at least a few decades to resolve internal conflicts, especially the historical problems between various ethnic groups. However, no one can deny that the unified Western Land will become the only super hegemony on the world island, and even the world that can compete with the Liangxia Empire.
The key is that the threat from the "Western Land Kingdom" is all-round, far exceeding that of the Republic of Newland.
As for external threats, it will become the driving force for the reunification of the Western Continent.
That's why the basic strategy of the Liangxia Empire to the Western Land Group can be described in four words.
Avoid urgent need to endure.
As long as there is enough time, after the influence of the Troman Empire weakens, the Western Continental Group will inevitably be divided, and there is naturally no way to talk about the great cause of unification of the Western Continent.
In addition, the move towards unification of the Western continent will also trigger a chain reaction.
To put it bluntly, achieving political unification in the Western Continent, or expected to achieve political unification, will stimulate the Republic of Newland.
Although it is more difficult and feasible to unify the Lone Continent, the Newland Republic is likely to settle for the second best, give up the dream of unification, adopt a more realistic strategy, put the entire Lone Continent within the Beigu Group, and control other countries through alliances.
Because it is relatively more isolated and far away from the world island, the control of the alliance is enough to allow the Republic of Newland to use the resources of the entire lonely continent to fight against the Liangxia Empire during the war. In time, the Republic of Newland could even strengthen its control over the allies through industrialization.
If this is the case, the world situation will become more dangerous.
Here, there is a very important point of view that is misunderstood by most people.
The foundation for peacekeeping after the war.
Previously, most people believed that the three-legged situation was the cornerstone of peace, that is, no three super hegemony could defeat the other two super hegemony.
Is that true?
Obviously not!
The real key to maintaining rough peace in the international situation after the war is that the Liangxia Empire is unwilling to bear the tragic price of war, especially the Liangxia people's disgust with the war. The key to all this is the core idea of "harmony is the most important" in Eastern culture.
The most representative one is that when Lian Xusheng was at its peak, he lost the throne of the chief minister.
What made Lian Xusheng lose power in the debate between the two houses of discussion is actually a rumor. He will launch the third global war during his third term.
Although this is indeed possible based on the situation at that time and the information declassified later, just a rumor made the wartime chief lose support, which is enough to illustrate the national conditions at that time. In the empire, both the masters of the two houses of discussion and the civilians at the bottom were tired of war and hoped to restore normal order, and did not want to be baptized by war again in their lifetime.
Is there such a concept in the West?
It is conceivable that the situation of three-legged squad is really formed, that is, the Great Empire and the Newland Republic have the strength to challenge the Liangxia Empire, and peace will definitely not be able to be maintained, and the war will break out immediately, and the tragic level will definitely be far greater than the Second Global War.
The situation of three-legged tyrants has never been formed. The key is that the size of the Tyman Empire is too small, and the Western Land Group, with the Tyman Empire as its core, is too weak.
It can be seen that what the Torai Empire lacks is only great unification.
From this perspective, even if you win the Third Global War, you cannot destroy all your opponents, and you cannot even maintain military occupation for a long time.
According to the consensus conclusion drawn from the three deductions, as long as the Third Global War lasts long enough and the damage caused to the Western Continental Group is great enough, it will inevitably prompt the Western Continental countries to move towards unification after the war, and the threat of the Western Continental Kingdom that was born far exceeds that of the World Empire.
It would be even more troublesome if the Republic of Newland began to reunify the isolated continent.
If a three-legged situation is really formed, global wars will become normalized, and years of war will inevitably lead to serious social unrest.
It was through these three deductions that the empire's senior leaders unified their understanding.
Even if the third global war is inevitable, the duration and scope of impact must be strictly controlled to minimize the impact.
The key is the war with the Newland Republic in the east.
Here, an extremely sensitive topic is involved.
When necessary, the empire must make sacrifices and compromise with reality.
To put it bluntly, it is necessary to be mentally prepared to throw away the Hovay Islands, and when necessary, the Hovay Islands must be used as a bargaining chip.
If a truce with the Republic of Newland can be considered abandoning the Hovay Islands.
Of course, this is not a confession.
In Zhou Yongtao's plan, it is not to immediately hand over the Hovayi Islands after the war breaks out, but to consider armistice negotiations after the fierceness of the Republic of Newland.
The Hovay Islands are just bargaining chips, and at most they are the main factors for achieving a truce.
The key to this plan is actually to win the battlefield and to negotiate with the Republic of Newland when mastering strategic advantages.
Only in this way can we have hope of finding a result that is beneficial to the empire.
As for the Tauman Empire, there is nothing to worry about.
If the Tyman Empire could hold on until the day when the Liangxia Empire and the Newland Empire ceased, the only option would be to cease with the Liangxia Empire.
In addition, the armistice negotiations with the Tsuman Empire are likely to be carried out simultaneously. After all, the Tsuman Empire has long secretly formed an alliance with the Newland Republic. When the Newland Republic was willing to end the war through negotiations, the Tsuman Empire had no reason to continue to be enemies with the Liangxia Empire.
If you fight alone, the Tiaoman Empire is definitely not a match for the Liangxia Empire.
Of course, the Tyman Empire may not be able to last until that day.
The "risk" Zhou Yongtao mentioned is actually the decisive battle of the fleet on the East Ocean.
But, as he said, even if he lost the decisive battle of the fleet, the worst result would be to do his best and win this global war in several years.
On the other hand, it will take several years to win the global war without taking such adventures.
It can be seen that this is not a risk, but a struggle to achieve the best results.
"So, I'm just trying to do it."
To be continued...